Democratic incumbent Henry Cuellar holds a strong position in Texas's 28th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting trader consensus on the Democratic Party's 73.5% implied probability. The district, redrawn in 2025 to favor Republicans at the presidential level, nonetheless receives Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic ratings from major handicappers due to Cuellar's long incumbency, name recognition, and conservative profile in the heavily Hispanic South Texas border area. A Trump pardon in December 2025 resolved federal bribery charges against him, clearing a major obstacle before his March primary win. An August 2026 poll showed Cuellar leading Republican nominee Tano Tijerina 45% to 34%, with the remainder split among a Green candidate and undecided voters. These factors, including Cuellar's fundraising edge and limited recent shifts in the race, underpin the current market positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
75%
共和党
24%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$3,486 Vol.
75%
共和党
$4,356 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Henry Cuellar holds a strong position in Texas's 28th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting trader consensus on the Democratic Party's 73.5% implied probability. The district, redrawn in 2025 to favor Republicans at the presidential level, nonetheless receives Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic ratings from major handicappers due to Cuellar's long incumbency, name recognition, and conservative profile in the heavily Hispanic South Texas border area. A Trump pardon in December 2025 resolved federal bribery charges against him, clearing a major obstacle before his March primary win. An August 2026 poll showed Cuellar leading Republican nominee Tano Tijerina 45% to 34%, with the remainder split among a Green candidate and undecided voters. These factors, including Cuellar's fundraising edge and limited recent shifts in the race, underpin the current market positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
音量
$7,841終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Henry Cuellar holds a strong position in Texas's 28th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting trader consensus on the Democratic Party's 73.5% implied probability. The district, redrawn in 2025 to favor Republicans at the presidential level, nonetheless receives Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic ratings from major handicappers due to Cuellar's long incumbency, name recognition, and conservative profile in the heavily Hispanic South Texas border area. A Trump pardon in December 2025 resolved federal bribery charges against him, clearing a major obstacle before his March primary win. An August 2026 poll showed Cuellar leading Republican nominee Tano Tijerina 45% to 34%, with the remainder split among a Green candidate and undecided voters. These factors, including Cuellar's fundraising edge and limited recent shifts in the race, underpin the current market positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,841終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Henry Cuellar holds a strong position in Texas's 28th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting trader consensus on the Democratic Party's 73.5% implied probability. The district, redrawn in 2025 to favor Republicans at the presidential level, nonetheless receives Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic ratings from major handicappers due to Cuellar's long incumbency, name recognition, and conservative profile in the heavily Hispanic South Texas border area. A Trump pardon in December 2025 resolved federal bribery charges against him, clearing a major obstacle before his March primary win. An August 2026 poll showed Cuellar leading Republican nominee Tano Tijerina 45% to 34%, with the remainder split among a Green candidate and undecided voters. These factors, including Cuellar's fundraising edge and limited recent shifts in the race, underpin the current market positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問