Incumbent Bob Onder secured the Republican nomination for Missouri's 3rd Congressional District in the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Bethany Mann in a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. The district's partisan composition, combined with Onder's prior victory, Trump endorsement, and stronger fundraising, underpins trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Recent redistricting litigation has introduced uncertainty, with the U.S. Supreme Court blocking a revised map shortly after primaries used new boundaries, potentially reverting lines for the general election. Such shifts or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban or Boone County areas represent the primary scenarios that could narrow Onder's position before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$31,311 Vol.
$31,311 Vol.
2026/11/02
ボブ・オンダー（共和党）
93%
ベサニー・マン（民主党）
4%
$31,311 Vol.
$31,311 Vol.
2026/11/02
ボブ・オンダー（共和党）
$13,025 Vol.
93%
ベサニー・マン（民主党）
$18,286 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Bob Onder secured the Republican nomination for Missouri's 3rd Congressional District in the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Bethany Mann in a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. The district's partisan composition, combined with Onder's prior victory, Trump endorsement, and stronger fundraising, underpins trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Recent redistricting litigation has introduced uncertainty, with the U.S. Supreme Court blocking a revised map shortly after primaries used new boundaries, potentially reverting lines for the general election. Such shifts or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban or Boone County areas represent the primary scenarios that could narrow Onder's position before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$31,311終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Bob Onder secured the Republican nomination for Missouri's 3rd Congressional District in the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Bethany Mann in a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. The district's partisan composition, combined with Onder's prior victory, Trump endorsement, and stronger fundraising, underpins trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Recent redistricting litigation has introduced uncertainty, with the U.S. Supreme Court blocking a revised map shortly after primaries used new boundaries, potentially reverting lines for the general election. Such shifts or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban or Boone County areas represent the primary scenarios that could narrow Onder's position before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$31,311終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Bob Onder secured the Republican nomination for Missouri's 3rd Congressional District in the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Bethany Mann in a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. The district's partisan composition, combined with Onder's prior victory, Trump endorsement, and stronger fundraising, underpins trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Recent redistricting litigation has introduced uncertainty, with the U.S. Supreme Court blocking a revised map shortly after primaries used new boundaries, potentially reverting lines for the general election. Such shifts or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban or Boone County areas represent the primary scenarios that could narrow Onder's position before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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