Incumbent Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and her repeated primary victories, most recently with nearly 74 percent in August. Democratic nominee Fred Wellman, a retired Army aviator who narrowly won his primary, faces an uphill path in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Earlier polling showed a tight race in head-to-head matchups, with national midterm dynamics and a potential state abortion referendum cited by Democrats as possible turnout factors. Traders’ current pricing reflects Wagner’s incumbency edge and the district’s baseline partisan lean over these variables.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$11,561 Vol.
$11,561 Vol.
2026/11/02
アン・ワグナー（共和党）
61%
フレッド・ウェルマン（民主党）
38%
$11,561 Vol.
$11,561 Vol.
2026/11/02
アン・ワグナー（共和党）
$6,023 Vol.
61%
フレッド・ウェルマン（民主党）
$5,538 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and her repeated primary victories, most recently with nearly 74 percent in August. Democratic nominee Fred Wellman, a retired Army aviator who narrowly won his primary, faces an uphill path in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Earlier polling showed a tight race in head-to-head matchups, with national midterm dynamics and a potential state abortion referendum cited by Democrats as possible turnout factors. Traders’ current pricing reflects Wagner’s incumbency edge and the district’s baseline partisan lean over these variables.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$11,561終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and her repeated primary victories, most recently with nearly 74 percent in August. Democratic nominee Fred Wellman, a retired Army aviator who narrowly won his primary, faces an uphill path in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Earlier polling showed a tight race in head-to-head matchups, with national midterm dynamics and a potential state abortion referendum cited by Democrats as possible turnout factors. Traders’ current pricing reflects Wagner’s incumbency edge and the district’s baseline partisan lean over these variables.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$11,561終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and her repeated primary victories, most recently with nearly 74 percent in August. Democratic nominee Fred Wellman, a retired Army aviator who narrowly won his primary, faces an uphill path in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Earlier polling showed a tight race in head-to-head matchups, with national midterm dynamics and a potential state abortion referendum cited by Democrats as possible turnout factors. Traders’ current pricing reflects Wagner’s incumbency edge and the district’s baseline partisan lean over these variables.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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