Wesley Bell holds a commanding lead in Missouri's 1st Congressional District due to its consistent strong Democratic performance in St. Louis and surrounding areas, combined with his status as incumbent after defeating Cori Bush in the August 2026 Democratic primary. Race ratings from multiple outlets classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, and Republican nominee Paul Berry lacks the resources or district fit to mount a serious challenge ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 97% for Bell reflects this structural advantage and absence of recent developments such as scandals, shifts in voter turnout patterns, or national events that have historically altered outcomes in comparable districts. A major late-cycle disruption remains the primary scenario that could narrow the margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$36,824 Vol.
$36,824 Vol.
2026/11/02
ウェズリー・ベル（民主党）
97%
ポール・ベリー（共和党）
2%
$36,824 Vol.
$36,824 Vol.
2026/11/02
ウェズリー・ベル（民主党）
$22,853 Vol.
97%
ポール・ベリー（共和党）
$13,971 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wesley Bell holds a commanding lead in Missouri's 1st Congressional District due to its consistent strong Democratic performance in St. Louis and surrounding areas, combined with his status as incumbent after defeating Cori Bush in the August 2026 Democratic primary. Race ratings from multiple outlets classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, and Republican nominee Paul Berry lacks the resources or district fit to mount a serious challenge ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 97% for Bell reflects this structural advantage and absence of recent developments such as scandals, shifts in voter turnout patterns, or national events that have historically altered outcomes in comparable districts. A major late-cycle disruption remains the primary scenario that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$36,824終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wesley Bell holds a commanding lead in Missouri's 1st Congressional District due to its consistent strong Democratic performance in St. Louis and surrounding areas, combined with his status as incumbent after defeating Cori Bush in the August 2026 Democratic primary. Race ratings from multiple outlets classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, and Republican nominee Paul Berry lacks the resources or district fit to mount a serious challenge ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 97% for Bell reflects this structural advantage and absence of recent developments such as scandals, shifts in voter turnout patterns, or national events that have historically altered outcomes in comparable districts. A major late-cycle disruption remains the primary scenario that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$36,824終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Wesley Bell holds a commanding lead in Missouri's 1st Congressional District due to its consistent strong Democratic performance in St. Louis and surrounding areas, combined with his status as incumbent after defeating Cori Bush in the August 2026 Democratic primary. Race ratings from multiple outlets classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, and Republican nominee Paul Berry lacks the resources or district fit to mount a serious challenge ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 97% for Bell reflects this structural advantage and absence of recent developments such as scandals, shifts in voter turnout patterns, or national events that have historically altered outcomes in comparable districts. A major late-cycle disruption remains the primary scenario that could narrow the margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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