South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with the party holding the position without interruption since 2008 and no Democratic nominee mounting a serious challenge in recent cycles. Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination with nearly 80 percent in the June primary, drawing on his record as state attorney general, prior service in the role, and endorsements from national Republican figures that reinforced his frontrunner status for the November 3 general election. Nikki Gronli, the Democratic nominee, faces structural headwinds typical of the state's partisan composition. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for open-seat races in similar districts. A late scandal, significant health event, or unforeseen national shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$32,071 Vol.
$32,071 Vol.
2026/11/02
マーティ・ジャックリー（共和党）
95%
ニッキー・グロンリ（民主党）
4%
$32,071 Vol.
$32,071 Vol.
2026/11/02
マーティ・ジャックリー（共和党）
$24,383 Vol.
95%
ニッキー・グロンリ（民主党）
$7,688 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with the party holding the position without interruption since 2008 and no Democratic nominee mounting a serious challenge in recent cycles. Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination with nearly 80 percent in the June primary, drawing on his record as state attorney general, prior service in the role, and endorsements from national Republican figures that reinforced his frontrunner status for the November 3 general election. Nikki Gronli, the Democratic nominee, faces structural headwinds typical of the state's partisan composition. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for open-seat races in similar districts. A late scandal, significant health event, or unforeseen national shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$32,071終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with the party holding the position without interruption since 2008 and no Democratic nominee mounting a serious challenge in recent cycles. Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination with nearly 80 percent in the June primary, drawing on his record as state attorney general, prior service in the role, and endorsements from national Republican figures that reinforced his frontrunner status for the November 3 general election. Nikki Gronli, the Democratic nominee, faces structural headwinds typical of the state's partisan composition. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for open-seat races in similar districts. A late scandal, significant health event, or unforeseen national shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$32,071終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with the party holding the position without interruption since 2008 and no Democratic nominee mounting a serious challenge in recent cycles. Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination with nearly 80 percent in the June primary, drawing on his record as state attorney general, prior service in the role, and endorsements from national Republican figures that reinforced his frontrunner status for the November 3 general election. Nikki Gronli, the Democratic nominee, faces structural headwinds typical of the state's partisan composition. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for open-seat races in similar districts. A late scandal, significant health event, or unforeseen national shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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