Florida's 14th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in 2026 that shifted its boundaries eastward within Hillsborough County, making the seat more competitive after Donald Trump carried the new lines by double digits in 2024 vote estimates. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor faces Republican Mike Beltran, who secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary. Castor holds an edge in available polling and benefits from incumbency and established fundraising, while Beltran receives national Republican support and a Trump endorsement. Mixed race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report (toss-up) and Inside Elections (lean Republican) reflect the tightened contest, yet trader consensus continues to price Castor as the favorite ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$41,718 Vol.
$41,718 Vol.
2026/11/02
キャシー・キャスター（民主党）
64%
マイク・ベルトラン（共和党）
35%
$41,718 Vol.
$41,718 Vol.
2026/11/02
キャシー・キャスター（民主党）
$21,638 Vol.
64%
マイク・ベルトラン（共和党）
$20,080 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 14th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in 2026 that shifted its boundaries eastward within Hillsborough County, making the seat more competitive after Donald Trump carried the new lines by double digits in 2024 vote estimates. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor faces Republican Mike Beltran, who secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary. Castor holds an edge in available polling and benefits from incumbency and established fundraising, while Beltran receives national Republican support and a Trump endorsement. Mixed race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report (toss-up) and Inside Elections (lean Republican) reflect the tightened contest, yet trader consensus continues to price Castor as the favorite ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
音量
$41,718終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 14th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in 2026 that shifted its boundaries eastward within Hillsborough County, making the seat more competitive after Donald Trump carried the new lines by double digits in 2024 vote estimates. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor faces Republican Mike Beltran, who secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary. Castor holds an edge in available polling and benefits from incumbency and established fundraising, while Beltran receives national Republican support and a Trump endorsement. Mixed race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report (toss-up) and Inside Elections (lean Republican) reflect the tightened contest, yet trader consensus continues to price Castor as the favorite ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$41,718終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 14th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in 2026 that shifted its boundaries eastward within Hillsborough County, making the seat more competitive after Donald Trump carried the new lines by double digits in 2024 vote estimates. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor faces Republican Mike Beltran, who secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary. Castor holds an edge in available polling and benefits from incumbency and established fundraising, while Beltran receives national Republican support and a Trump endorsement. Mixed race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report (toss-up) and Inside Elections (lean Republican) reflect the tightened contest, yet trader consensus continues to price Castor as the favorite ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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