Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its D+18 partisan voting index and urban-suburban composition across Hampton Roads. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who secured 70 percent in the prior cycle, advanced unopposed through the August 4 primary on the post-redistricting map, while the Republican nominee faces limited resources and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data suggesting an upset. Scenarios that could still shift odds include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political wave altering turnout patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$63,234 Vol.
$63,234 Vol.
2026/11/02
ボビー・スコット（民主党）
96%
エドウィン・リベラ（共和党）
4%
$63,234 Vol.
$63,234 Vol.
2026/11/02
ボビー・スコット（民主党）
$21,571 Vol.
96%
エドウィン・リベラ（共和党）
$41,664 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its D+18 partisan voting index and urban-suburban composition across Hampton Roads. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who secured 70 percent in the prior cycle, advanced unopposed through the August 4 primary on the post-redistricting map, while the Republican nominee faces limited resources and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data suggesting an upset. Scenarios that could still shift odds include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political wave altering turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$63,234終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its D+18 partisan voting index and urban-suburban composition across Hampton Roads. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who secured 70 percent in the prior cycle, advanced unopposed through the August 4 primary on the post-redistricting map, while the Republican nominee faces limited resources and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data suggesting an upset. Scenarios that could still shift odds include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political wave altering turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$63,234終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its D+18 partisan voting index and urban-suburban composition across Hampton Roads. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who secured 70 percent in the prior cycle, advanced unopposed through the August 4 primary on the post-redistricting map, while the Republican nominee faces limited resources and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data suggesting an upset. Scenarios that could still shift odds include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political wave altering turnout patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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