Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey holds a dominant edge in Texas’s 6th congressional district, backed by the seat’s consistent Republican lean, his decisive March 2026 primary win, and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as safe or solidly Republican. Challenger Danny Minton secured the Democratic nomination without opposition but trails significantly in fundraising and lacks visible momentum in a district encompassing suburban areas south of Dallas-Fort Worth. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited opportunity for reversal absent major unforeseen events such as a health crisis or national political wave. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural and campaign fundamentals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$52,755 Vol.
$52,755 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジェイク・エルジー（共和党）
96%
ダニー・ミントン（民主党）
5%
$52,755 Vol.
$52,755 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジェイク・エルジー（共和党）
$25,764 Vol.
96%
ダニー・ミントン（民主党）
$26,991 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey holds a dominant edge in Texas’s 6th congressional district, backed by the seat’s consistent Republican lean, his decisive March 2026 primary win, and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as safe or solidly Republican. Challenger Danny Minton secured the Democratic nomination without opposition but trails significantly in fundraising and lacks visible momentum in a district encompassing suburban areas south of Dallas-Fort Worth. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited opportunity for reversal absent major unforeseen events such as a health crisis or national political wave. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural and campaign fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$52,755終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey holds a dominant edge in Texas’s 6th congressional district, backed by the seat’s consistent Republican lean, his decisive March 2026 primary win, and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as safe or solidly Republican. Challenger Danny Minton secured the Democratic nomination without opposition but trails significantly in fundraising and lacks visible momentum in a district encompassing suburban areas south of Dallas-Fort Worth. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited opportunity for reversal absent major unforeseen events such as a health crisis or national political wave. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural and campaign fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$52,755終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey holds a dominant edge in Texas’s 6th congressional district, backed by the seat’s consistent Republican lean, his decisive March 2026 primary win, and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as safe or solidly Republican. Challenger Danny Minton secured the Democratic nomination without opposition but trails significantly in fundraising and lacks visible momentum in a district encompassing suburban areas south of Dallas-Fort Worth. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited opportunity for reversal absent major unforeseen events such as a health crisis or national political wave. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural and campaign fundamentals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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