Josh Riley holds a commanding lead in the NY-19 House race, reflecting his status as a first-term Democratic incumbent who won the seat by roughly two points in 2024, combined with substantial fundraising advantages and Republican withdrawal of major outside spending. Forecasters rate the district as lean or likely Democratic. Peter Oberacker secured the GOP nomination in June but has seen support erode after the NRCC removed him from its program and the Congressional Leadership Fund pulled millions in ad reservations, citing candidate vulnerabilities. Utility cost disputes and past social media statements have featured in recent exchanges, while Riley has highlighted bipartisan legislative work on issues such as fentanyl enforcement. A shift in national conditions, significant late developments, or unusually high Republican turnout could still narrow the margin in this historically competitive upstate New York district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,158 Vol.
$21,158 Vol.
2026/11/03
ジョシュ・ライリー（民主）
94%
ピーター・オーバーレイカー（共和党）
6%
$21,158 Vol.
$21,158 Vol.
2026/11/03
ジョシュ・ライリー（民主）
$10,204 Vol.
94%
ピーター・オーバーレイカー（共和党）
$10,954 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Josh Riley holds a commanding lead in the NY-19 House race, reflecting his status as a first-term Democratic incumbent who won the seat by roughly two points in 2024, combined with substantial fundraising advantages and Republican withdrawal of major outside spending. Forecasters rate the district as lean or likely Democratic. Peter Oberacker secured the GOP nomination in June but has seen support erode after the NRCC removed him from its program and the Congressional Leadership Fund pulled millions in ad reservations, citing candidate vulnerabilities. Utility cost disputes and past social media statements have featured in recent exchanges, while Riley has highlighted bipartisan legislative work on issues such as fentanyl enforcement. A shift in national conditions, significant late developments, or unusually high Republican turnout could still narrow the margin in this historically competitive upstate New York district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
音量
$21,158終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Josh Riley holds a commanding lead in the NY-19 House race, reflecting his status as a first-term Democratic incumbent who won the seat by roughly two points in 2024, combined with substantial fundraising advantages and Republican withdrawal of major outside spending. Forecasters rate the district as lean or likely Democratic. Peter Oberacker secured the GOP nomination in June but has seen support erode after the NRCC removed him from its program and the Congressional Leadership Fund pulled millions in ad reservations, citing candidate vulnerabilities. Utility cost disputes and past social media statements have featured in recent exchanges, while Riley has highlighted bipartisan legislative work on issues such as fentanyl enforcement. A shift in national conditions, significant late developments, or unusually high Republican turnout could still narrow the margin in this historically competitive upstate New York district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,158終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Josh Riley holds a commanding lead in the NY-19 House race, reflecting his status as a first-term Democratic incumbent who won the seat by roughly two points in 2024, combined with substantial fundraising advantages and Republican withdrawal of major outside spending. Forecasters rate the district as lean or likely Democratic. Peter Oberacker secured the GOP nomination in June but has seen support erode after the NRCC removed him from its program and the Congressional Leadership Fund pulled millions in ad reservations, citing candidate vulnerabilities. Utility cost disputes and past social media statements have featured in recent exchanges, while Riley has highlighted bipartisan legislative work on issues such as fentanyl enforcement. A shift in national conditions, significant late developments, or unusually high Republican turnout could still narrow the margin in this historically competitive upstate New York district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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