Louisiana's 6th congressional district was redrawn earlier in 2026 to favor Republicans, prompting Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields to forgo reelection in the Baton Rouge-anchored seat. The new boundaries produced a district where Republicans hold a registration edge and Donald Trump carried 65% of the vote in 2024. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 open primary and potential December runoff. A crowded field of Republican state senators and other candidates faces several Democrats, but early polling shows a fragmented vote with high undecided numbers. Trader consensus at 94% Republican reflects the district's structural tilt and the absence of a competitive Democratic path under current conditions. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or successful legal challenge to the map remain low-probability scenarios that could alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$70,714 Vol.
$70,714 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$70,714 Vol.
$70,714 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$39,536 Vol.
94%
民主党
$31,178 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 6th congressional district was redrawn earlier in 2026 to favor Republicans, prompting Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields to forgo reelection in the Baton Rouge-anchored seat. The new boundaries produced a district where Republicans hold a registration edge and Donald Trump carried 65% of the vote in 2024. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 open primary and potential December runoff. A crowded field of Republican state senators and other candidates faces several Democrats, but early polling shows a fragmented vote with high undecided numbers. Trader consensus at 94% Republican reflects the district's structural tilt and the absence of a competitive Democratic path under current conditions. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or successful legal challenge to the map remain low-probability scenarios that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$70,714終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 6th congressional district was redrawn earlier in 2026 to favor Republicans, prompting Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields to forgo reelection in the Baton Rouge-anchored seat. The new boundaries produced a district where Republicans hold a registration edge and Donald Trump carried 65% of the vote in 2024. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 open primary and potential December runoff. A crowded field of Republican state senators and other candidates faces several Democrats, but early polling shows a fragmented vote with high undecided numbers. Trader consensus at 94% Republican reflects the district's structural tilt and the absence of a competitive Democratic path under current conditions. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or successful legal challenge to the map remain low-probability scenarios that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$70,714終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's 6th congressional district was redrawn earlier in 2026 to favor Republicans, prompting Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields to forgo reelection in the Baton Rouge-anchored seat. The new boundaries produced a district where Republicans hold a registration edge and Donald Trump carried 65% of the vote in 2024. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 open primary and potential December runoff. A crowded field of Republican state senators and other candidates faces several Democrats, but early polling shows a fragmented vote with high undecided numbers. Trader consensus at 94% Republican reflects the district's structural tilt and the absence of a competitive Democratic path under current conditions. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or successful legal challenge to the map remain low-probability scenarios that could alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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