Michael Cloud maintains a commanding lead in the TX-27 House race due to the district's established Republican lean, where he secured 66% in the 2024 general election and won his March 2026 primary with 73% of the vote. Tanya Lloyd, the Democratic nominee who advanced with 63% in her primary, faces structural headwinds in a constituency that favored Republican presidential candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Cloud's substantial fundraising edge, Trump endorsement, and consistent support from the district's rural and energy-producing counties reinforce trader consensus on the outcome. A late scandal, health development, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in November could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current polling aggregates indicate limited pathways for such shifts before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$37,650 Vol.
$37,650 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイケル・クラウド（共和党）
91%
ターニャ・ロイド（民主党）
9%
$37,650 Vol.
$37,650 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイケル・クラウド（共和党）
$25,021 Vol.
91%
ターニャ・ロイド（民主党）
$12,628 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michael Cloud maintains a commanding lead in the TX-27 House race due to the district's established Republican lean, where he secured 66% in the 2024 general election and won his March 2026 primary with 73% of the vote. Tanya Lloyd, the Democratic nominee who advanced with 63% in her primary, faces structural headwinds in a constituency that favored Republican presidential candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Cloud's substantial fundraising edge, Trump endorsement, and consistent support from the district's rural and energy-producing counties reinforce trader consensus on the outcome. A late scandal, health development, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in November could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current polling aggregates indicate limited pathways for such shifts before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$37,650終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michael Cloud maintains a commanding lead in the TX-27 House race due to the district's established Republican lean, where he secured 66% in the 2024 general election and won his March 2026 primary with 73% of the vote. Tanya Lloyd, the Democratic nominee who advanced with 63% in her primary, faces structural headwinds in a constituency that favored Republican presidential candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Cloud's substantial fundraising edge, Trump endorsement, and consistent support from the district's rural and energy-producing counties reinforce trader consensus on the outcome. A late scandal, health development, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in November could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current polling aggregates indicate limited pathways for such shifts before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$37,650終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Michael Cloud maintains a commanding lead in the TX-27 House race due to the district's established Republican lean, where he secured 66% in the 2024 general election and won his March 2026 primary with 73% of the vote. Tanya Lloyd, the Democratic nominee who advanced with 63% in her primary, faces structural headwinds in a constituency that favored Republican presidential candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Cloud's substantial fundraising edge, Trump endorsement, and consistent support from the district's rural and energy-producing counties reinforce trader consensus on the outcome. A late scandal, health development, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in November could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current polling aggregates indicate limited pathways for such shifts before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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