Joe Wilson’s position as the long-serving Republican incumbent in South Carolina’s 2nd Congressional District underpins the current market consensus. He secured his party’s nomination in the June 9 primary with 74 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Zyon Khalifa advanced as the Democratic nominee after winning the June 23 runoff. The district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and holds a Solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters, consistent with Wilson’s repeated general election victories. With the November 3 general election still weeks away and no major late developments reported, traders assign limited probability to an upset. Potential shifts remain tied to unusually low turnout, unforeseen national political changes, or significant candidate-specific events before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$39,934 Vol.
$39,934 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジョー・ウィルソン（共和党）
92%
ザイオン・カリファ（民主党）
4%
$39,934 Vol.
$39,934 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジョー・ウィルソン（共和党）
$15,155 Vol.
92%
ザイオン・カリファ（民主党）
$24,779 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joe Wilson’s position as the long-serving Republican incumbent in South Carolina’s 2nd Congressional District underpins the current market consensus. He secured his party’s nomination in the June 9 primary with 74 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Zyon Khalifa advanced as the Democratic nominee after winning the June 23 runoff. The district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and holds a Solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters, consistent with Wilson’s repeated general election victories. With the November 3 general election still weeks away and no major late developments reported, traders assign limited probability to an upset. Potential shifts remain tied to unusually low turnout, unforeseen national political changes, or significant candidate-specific events before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$39,934終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joe Wilson’s position as the long-serving Republican incumbent in South Carolina’s 2nd Congressional District underpins the current market consensus. He secured his party’s nomination in the June 9 primary with 74 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Zyon Khalifa advanced as the Democratic nominee after winning the June 23 runoff. The district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and holds a Solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters, consistent with Wilson’s repeated general election victories. With the November 3 general election still weeks away and no major late developments reported, traders assign limited probability to an upset. Potential shifts remain tied to unusually low turnout, unforeseen national political changes, or significant candidate-specific events before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$39,934終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Joe Wilson’s position as the long-serving Republican incumbent in South Carolina’s 2nd Congressional District underpins the current market consensus. He secured his party’s nomination in the June 9 primary with 74 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Zyon Khalifa advanced as the Democratic nominee after winning the June 23 runoff. The district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and holds a Solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters, consistent with Wilson’s repeated general election victories. With the November 3 general election still weeks away and no major late developments reported, traders assign limited probability to an upset. Potential shifts remain tied to unusually low turnout, unforeseen national political changes, or significant candidate-specific events before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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