South Carolina's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus around a 95% probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jim Clyburn advanced easily through the June 2026 Democratic primary with over 90% of the vote and faces Republican nominee John Peterson in the November general election. The district's D+13 partisan voter index, demographic composition, and consistent performance in recent cycles underpin the wide gap. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, with no successful redistricting changes altering boundaries before primaries. Clyburn's decades of incumbency and established voter base in the Columbia and North Charleston areas further anchor expectations. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unprecedented swing in turnout or late-cycle events capable of overcoming the structural lean.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,860 Vol.
$34,860 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$34,860 Vol.
$34,860 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$18,636 Vol.
95%
共和党
$16,224 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus around a 95% probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jim Clyburn advanced easily through the June 2026 Democratic primary with over 90% of the vote and faces Republican nominee John Peterson in the November general election. The district's D+13 partisan voter index, demographic composition, and consistent performance in recent cycles underpin the wide gap. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, with no successful redistricting changes altering boundaries before primaries. Clyburn's decades of incumbency and established voter base in the Columbia and North Charleston areas further anchor expectations. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unprecedented swing in turnout or late-cycle events capable of overcoming the structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$34,860終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus around a 95% probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jim Clyburn advanced easily through the June 2026 Democratic primary with over 90% of the vote and faces Republican nominee John Peterson in the November general election. The district's D+13 partisan voter index, demographic composition, and consistent performance in recent cycles underpin the wide gap. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, with no successful redistricting changes altering boundaries before primaries. Clyburn's decades of incumbency and established voter base in the Columbia and North Charleston areas further anchor expectations. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unprecedented swing in turnout or late-cycle events capable of overcoming the structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$34,860終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus around a 95% probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jim Clyburn advanced easily through the June 2026 Democratic primary with over 90% of the vote and faces Republican nominee John Peterson in the November general election. The district's D+13 partisan voter index, demographic composition, and consistent performance in recent cycles underpin the wide gap. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, with no successful redistricting changes altering boundaries before primaries. Clyburn's decades of incumbency and established voter base in the Columbia and North Charleston areas further anchor expectations. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unprecedented swing in turnout or late-cycle events capable of overcoming the structural lean.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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