Skip to main content

米国で取引するにはpolymarket.us

icon for 折りたたみ式iPhoneが価格を発表しましたか?

折りたたみ式iPhoneが価格を発表しましたか?

icon for 折りたたみ式iPhoneが価格を発表しましたか?

折りたたみ式iPhoneが価格を発表しましたか?

新規

$20,190 Vol.

2026/09/30
Polymarket

$20,190 Vol.

Polymarket

1,800ドル以上

$4,932 Vol.

94%

2000ドル以上

$3,646 Vol.

85%

2,200ドル以上

$4,690 Vol.

54%

2,400ドル以上

$4,565 Vol.

15%

2,600ドル以上

$2,357 Vol.

3%

Apple is scheduled to hold its "Surprise and Shine" event at 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first price publicly announced by Apple for a foldable iPhone for the US market is greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The price used for resolution will be the starting price (USD) as first announced by Apple for the lowest-priced configuration of a foldable iPhone in the US market, before taxes, carrier subsidies, trade-in credits, promotional discounts, or bundled services. Prices announced for other regions or for higher storage configurations will not be used. Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify as a foldable iPhone, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone. If Apple announces prices for more than one foldable iPhone model, the lowest announced starting price will be used. If Apple does not publicly announce a price for a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s September 9 event is the dominant near-term catalyst for the Foldable iPhone Announced Price market, with supply-chain reports and analysts converging on a book-style design featuring a 5.5-inch outer OLED and roughly 7.8-inch inner OLED panel. Multiple credible estimates place the starting price at or above $2,000—TrendForce recently cited $2,099–$2,299—reflecting premium components, 12 GB RAM, storage tiers up to 2 TB, and a titanium hinge aimed at minimizing creases. This positions the device well above the iPhone 18 Pro Max and in line with or above Samsung’s Galaxy Z Fold8 models, while initial production remains limited to a few hundred units daily. Traders are watching whether Apple names it iPhone Ultra and confirms availability timing, as any deviation from the $2,000–$2,500 consensus could shift market-implied odds ahead of the reveal.

Apple is scheduled to hold its "Surprise and Shine" event at 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first price publicly announced by Apple for a foldable iPhone for the US market is greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The price used for resolution will be the starting price (USD) as first announced by Apple for the lowest-priced configuration of a foldable iPhone in the US market, before taxes, carrier subsidies, trade-in credits, promotional discounts, or bundled services. Prices announced for other regions or for higher storage configurations will not be used.

Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify as a foldable iPhone, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.

If Apple announces prices for more than one foldable iPhone model, the lowest announced starting price will be used.

If Apple does not publicly announce a price for a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Apple is scheduled to hold its "Surprise and Shine" event at 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first price publicly announced by Apple for a foldable iPhone for the US market is greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The price used for resolution will be the starting price (USD) as first announced by Apple for the lowest-priced configuration of a foldable iPhone in the US market, before taxes, carrier subsidies, trade-in credits, promotional discounts, or bundled services. Prices announced for other regions or for higher storage configurations will not be used. Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify as a foldable iPhone, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone. If Apple announces prices for more than one foldable iPhone model, the lowest announced starting price will be used. If Apple does not publicly announce a price for a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$20,190
終了日
2026/10/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
Apple is scheduled to hold its "Surprise and Shine" event at 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first price publicly announced by Apple for a foldable iPhone for the US market is greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The price used for resolution will be the starting price (USD) as first announced by Apple for the lowest-priced configuration of a foldable iPhone in the US market, before taxes, carrier subsidies, trade-in credits, promotional discounts, or bundled services. Prices announced for other regions or for higher storage configurations will not be used. Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify as a foldable iPhone, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone. If Apple announces prices for more than one foldable iPhone model, the lowest announced starting price will be used. If Apple does not publicly announce a price for a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s September 9 event is the dominant near-term catalyst for the Foldable iPhone Announced Price market, with supply-chain reports and analysts converging on a book-style design featuring a 5.5-inch outer OLED and roughly 7.8-inch inner OLED panel. Multiple credible estimates place the starting price at or above $2,000—TrendForce recently cited $2,099–$2,299—reflecting premium components, 12 GB RAM, storage tiers up to 2 TB, and a titanium hinge aimed at minimizing creases. This positions the device well above the iPhone 18 Pro Max and in line with or above Samsung’s Galaxy Z Fold8 models, while initial production remains limited to a few hundred units daily. Traders are watching whether Apple names it iPhone Ultra and confirms availability timing, as any deviation from the $2,000–$2,500 consensus could shift market-implied odds ahead of the reveal.

Apple is scheduled to hold its "Surprise and Shine" event at 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first price publicly announced by Apple for a foldable iPhone for the US market is greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The price used for resolution will be the starting price (USD) as first announced by Apple for the lowest-priced configuration of a foldable iPhone in the US market, before taxes, carrier subsidies, trade-in credits, promotional discounts, or bundled services. Prices announced for other regions or for higher storage configurations will not be used.

Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify as a foldable iPhone, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.

If Apple announces prices for more than one foldable iPhone model, the lowest announced starting price will be used.

If Apple does not publicly announce a price for a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Apple is scheduled to hold its "Surprise and Shine" event at 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first price publicly announced by Apple for a foldable iPhone for the US market is greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The price used for resolution will be the starting price (USD) as first announced by Apple for the lowest-priced configuration of a foldable iPhone in the US market, before taxes, carrier subsidies, trade-in credits, promotional discounts, or bundled services. Prices announced for other regions or for higher storage configurations will not be used. Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify as a foldable iPhone, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone. If Apple announces prices for more than one foldable iPhone model, the lowest announced starting price will be used. If Apple does not publicly announce a price for a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$20,190
終了日
2026/10/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「折りたたみ式iPhoneが価格を発表しましたか?」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「1,800ドル以上」で94%、次いで「2000ドル以上」が85%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、94¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に94%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「折りたたみ式iPhoneが価格を発表しましたか?」は$20.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Sep 4, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「折りたたみ式iPhoneが価格を発表しましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「折りたたみ式iPhoneが価格を発表しましたか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「1,800ドル以上」で94%であり、市場がこの結果に94%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2000ドル以上」で85%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「折りたたみ式iPhoneが価格を発表しましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。