Incumbent Democratic Gov. JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, his strong fundraising edge, and limited recent polling showing double-digit leads. Pritzker secured the Democratic nomination unopposed after primaries in March, while Republican Darren Bailey won his party's contest and now faces the incumbent in a rematch of the 2022 election. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting Illinois's partisan makeup and historical outcomes. A recent endorsement of Bailey by President Trump represents the most notable late development, though it has not shifted the broader trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Potential factors that could alter the outcome include major shifts in state economic conditions, turnout patterns in key areas like Chicago and downstate regions, or unforeseen campaign events before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$11,672 Vol.
$11,672 Vol.
2026/11/02
JBプリツカー（民主党）
98%
ダレン・ベイリー（共和党）
2%
$11,672 Vol.
$11,672 Vol.
2026/11/02
JBプリツカー（民主党）
$5,430 Vol.
98%
ダレン・ベイリー（共和党）
$6,241 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, his strong fundraising edge, and limited recent polling showing double-digit leads. Pritzker secured the Democratic nomination unopposed after primaries in March, while Republican Darren Bailey won his party's contest and now faces the incumbent in a rematch of the 2022 election. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting Illinois's partisan makeup and historical outcomes. A recent endorsement of Bailey by President Trump represents the most notable late development, though it has not shifted the broader trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Potential factors that could alter the outcome include major shifts in state economic conditions, turnout patterns in key areas like Chicago and downstate regions, or unforeseen campaign events before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
音量
$11,672終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, his strong fundraising edge, and limited recent polling showing double-digit leads. Pritzker secured the Democratic nomination unopposed after primaries in March, while Republican Darren Bailey won his party's contest and now faces the incumbent in a rematch of the 2022 election. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting Illinois's partisan makeup and historical outcomes. A recent endorsement of Bailey by President Trump represents the most notable late development, though it has not shifted the broader trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Potential factors that could alter the outcome include major shifts in state economic conditions, turnout patterns in key areas like Chicago and downstate regions, or unforeseen campaign events before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$11,672終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Gov. JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, his strong fundraising edge, and limited recent polling showing double-digit leads. Pritzker secured the Democratic nomination unopposed after primaries in March, while Republican Darren Bailey won his party's contest and now faces the incumbent in a rematch of the 2022 election. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting Illinois's partisan makeup and historical outcomes. A recent endorsement of Bailey by President Trump represents the most notable late development, though it has not shifted the broader trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Potential factors that could alter the outcome include major shifts in state economic conditions, turnout patterns in key areas like Chicago and downstate regions, or unforeseen campaign events before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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