Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid D rating from forecasters and Jackson's 2024 reelection margin exceeding 25 points. Jackson advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, an entrepreneur, secured her party's nomination but faces significant structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November general election. Professional models project Jackson winning by wide margins consistent with historical voting patterns in the South Side Chicago and suburban areas. Trader consensus at these levels accounts for the low probability of late shifts from national political waves, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals that could alter the outcome in this heavily Democratic seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$54,526 Vol.
$54,526 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジョナサン・ジャクソン（民主党）
98%
クリスチャン・マックスウェル（共和党）
2%
$54,526 Vol.
$54,526 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジョナサン・ジャクソン（民主党）
$29,976 Vol.
98%
クリスチャン・マックスウェル（共和党）
$24,550 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid D rating from forecasters and Jackson's 2024 reelection margin exceeding 25 points. Jackson advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, an entrepreneur, secured her party's nomination but faces significant structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November general election. Professional models project Jackson winning by wide margins consistent with historical voting patterns in the South Side Chicago and suburban areas. Trader consensus at these levels accounts for the low probability of late shifts from national political waves, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals that could alter the outcome in this heavily Democratic seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$54,526終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid D rating from forecasters and Jackson's 2024 reelection margin exceeding 25 points. Jackson advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, an entrepreneur, secured her party's nomination but faces significant structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November general election. Professional models project Jackson winning by wide margins consistent with historical voting patterns in the South Side Chicago and suburban areas. Trader consensus at these levels accounts for the low probability of late shifts from national political waves, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals that could alter the outcome in this heavily Democratic seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$54,526終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid D rating from forecasters and Jackson's 2024 reelection margin exceeding 25 points. Jackson advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, an entrepreneur, secured her party's nomination but faces significant structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November general election. Professional models project Jackson winning by wide margins consistent with historical voting patterns in the South Side Chicago and suburban areas. Trader consensus at these levels accounts for the low probability of late shifts from national political waves, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals that could alter the outcome in this heavily Democratic seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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