US-mediated direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors, launched in April 2026 after renewed Israel-Hezbollah conflict, produced a trilateral framework agreement signed in Washington on June 26. The accord outlines phased Lebanese army deployment in pilot zones, Hezbollah disarmament, and conditional Israeli withdrawals from southern Lebanon without a fixed timetable. Subsequent technical rounds occurred in Rome in mid-July and August 4-6, focusing on border issues and security annex details, while initial pilot-zone handovers began. Hezbollah has rejected the framework as surrender, and implementation remains contingent on verifiable progress amid ongoing ceasefire strains. Trader assessments of any future high-level diplomatic meeting hinge on these implementation steps, US facilitation, and Lebanese domestic pressures for full sovereignty restoration.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$234,183 Vol.
2026/09/01
August 31
2%
9月9日
13%
9月11日
23%
9月13日
16%
9月15日
40%
September 30
85%
$234,183 Vol.
August 31
$194,597 Vol.
2%
9月9日
$6,405 Vol.
13%
9月11日
$490 Vol.
23%
9月13日
$2,977 Vol.
16%
9月15日
$6,096 Vol.
40%
September 30
$23,619 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors, launched in April 2026 after renewed Israel-Hezbollah conflict, produced a trilateral framework agreement signed in Washington on June 26. The accord outlines phased Lebanese army deployment in pilot zones, Hezbollah disarmament, and conditional Israeli withdrawals from southern Lebanon without a fixed timetable. Subsequent technical rounds occurred in Rome in mid-July and August 4-6, focusing on border issues and security annex details, while initial pilot-zone handovers began. Hezbollah has rejected the framework as surrender, and implementation remains contingent on verifiable progress amid ongoing ceasefire strains. Trader assessments of any future high-level diplomatic meeting hinge on these implementation steps, US facilitation, and Lebanese domestic pressures for full sovereignty restoration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
音量
$234,183終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors, launched in April 2026 after renewed Israel-Hezbollah conflict, produced a trilateral framework agreement signed in Washington on June 26. The accord outlines phased Lebanese army deployment in pilot zones, Hezbollah disarmament, and conditional Israeli withdrawals from southern Lebanon without a fixed timetable. Subsequent technical rounds occurred in Rome in mid-July and August 4-6, focusing on border issues and security annex details, while initial pilot-zone handovers began. Hezbollah has rejected the framework as surrender, and implementation remains contingent on verifiable progress amid ongoing ceasefire strains. Trader assessments of any future high-level diplomatic meeting hinge on these implementation steps, US facilitation, and Lebanese domestic pressures for full sovereignty restoration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$234,183終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...US-mediated direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors, launched in April 2026 after renewed Israel-Hezbollah conflict, produced a trilateral framework agreement signed in Washington on June 26. The accord outlines phased Lebanese army deployment in pilot zones, Hezbollah disarmament, and conditional Israeli withdrawals from southern Lebanon without a fixed timetable. Subsequent technical rounds occurred in Rome in mid-July and August 4-6, focusing on border issues and security annex details, while initial pilot-zone handovers began. Hezbollah has rejected the framework as surrender, and implementation remains contingent on verifiable progress amid ongoing ceasefire strains. Trader assessments of any future high-level diplomatic meeting hinge on these implementation steps, US facilitation, and Lebanese domestic pressures for full sovereignty restoration.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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