Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st Congressional District race, reflecting the area's strong Republican lean and his established record since taking office in 2021. Mann easily won his August primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democrat Lauren Reinhold advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. The general election is set for November 3, 2026, with a Libertarian also on the ballot. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, unexpected scandal, or health issue involving the incumbent could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's partisan voter index and historical voting patterns make such changes unlikely to alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,187 Vol.
$18,187 Vol.
2026/11/02
トレイシー・マン（共和党）
94%
ローレン・ラインホールド（民主党）
6%
$18,187 Vol.
$18,187 Vol.
2026/11/02
トレイシー・マン（共和党）
$6,237 Vol.
94%
ローレン・ラインホールド（民主党）
$11,951 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st Congressional District race, reflecting the area's strong Republican lean and his established record since taking office in 2021. Mann easily won his August primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democrat Lauren Reinhold advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. The general election is set for November 3, 2026, with a Libertarian also on the ballot. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, unexpected scandal, or health issue involving the incumbent could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's partisan voter index and historical voting patterns make such changes unlikely to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$18,187終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st Congressional District race, reflecting the area's strong Republican lean and his established record since taking office in 2021. Mann easily won his August primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democrat Lauren Reinhold advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. The general election is set for November 3, 2026, with a Libertarian also on the ballot. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, unexpected scandal, or health issue involving the incumbent could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's partisan voter index and historical voting patterns make such changes unlikely to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,187終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st Congressional District race, reflecting the area's strong Republican lean and his established record since taking office in 2021. Mann easily won his August primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democrat Lauren Reinhold advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. The general election is set for November 3, 2026, with a Libertarian also on the ballot. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, unexpected scandal, or health issue involving the incumbent could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's partisan voter index and historical voting patterns make such changes unlikely to alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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