Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma's 1st Congressional District after winning the June 16 primary with 32.2 percent and advancing past Jackson Lahmeyer, who withdrew days later amid reported controversies. John Croisant advanced unopposed as the Democratic nominee. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent prior margins exceeding 25 points, underpins trader consensus favoring Tedford. Tedford's fundraising edge, exceeding $1.4 million compared to Croisant's roughly $124,000, further supports the current pricing. A late scandal, health issue, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though the seat's structural advantages limit such prospects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,122 Vol.
$25,122 Vol.
2026/11/02
マーク・テッドフォード（共和党）
91%
ジョン・クロワザン（民主党）
9%
$25,122 Vol.
$25,122 Vol.
2026/11/02
マーク・テッドフォード（共和党）
$13,268 Vol.
91%
ジョン・クロワザン（民主党）
$11,854 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma's 1st Congressional District after winning the June 16 primary with 32.2 percent and advancing past Jackson Lahmeyer, who withdrew days later amid reported controversies. John Croisant advanced unopposed as the Democratic nominee. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent prior margins exceeding 25 points, underpins trader consensus favoring Tedford. Tedford's fundraising edge, exceeding $1.4 million compared to Croisant's roughly $124,000, further supports the current pricing. A late scandal, health issue, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though the seat's structural advantages limit such prospects.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$25,122終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma's 1st Congressional District after winning the June 16 primary with 32.2 percent and advancing past Jackson Lahmeyer, who withdrew days later amid reported controversies. John Croisant advanced unopposed as the Democratic nominee. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent prior margins exceeding 25 points, underpins trader consensus favoring Tedford. Tedford's fundraising edge, exceeding $1.4 million compared to Croisant's roughly $124,000, further supports the current pricing. A late scandal, health issue, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though the seat's structural advantages limit such prospects.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$25,122終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma's 1st Congressional District after winning the June 16 primary with 32.2 percent and advancing past Jackson Lahmeyer, who withdrew days later amid reported controversies. John Croisant advanced unopposed as the Democratic nominee. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent prior margins exceeding 25 points, underpins trader consensus favoring Tedford. Tedford's fundraising edge, exceeding $1.4 million compared to Croisant's roughly $124,000, further supports the current pricing. A late scandal, health issue, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though the seat's structural advantages limit such prospects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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