Brandon Herrera holds a clear edge in the TX-23 race due to the district’s established Republican tilt, evidenced by its 15-point Trump margin in 2024, combined with his strong primary performance and substantial fundraising lead over Katy Padilla Stout. Herrera’s profile as a Second Amendment activist has consolidated conservative support following the scandal-driven resignation of former Representative Tony Gonzales, while recent polls show him ahead by roughly six points. Democrats have targeted the seat through DCCC inclusion and high-profile endorsements for Stout focused on gun safety, yet the open seat’s vacancy until 2027 and the district’s border demographics continue to favor the Republican nominee heading into the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$40,160 Vol.
$40,160 Vol.
2026/11/02
ブランドン・エレーラ（共和党）
69%
ケイティ・パディーラ・スタウト（民主党）
30%
$40,160 Vol.
$40,160 Vol.
2026/11/02
ブランドン・エレーラ（共和党）
$23,741 Vol.
69%
ケイティ・パディーラ・スタウト（民主党）
$16,420 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brandon Herrera holds a clear edge in the TX-23 race due to the district’s established Republican tilt, evidenced by its 15-point Trump margin in 2024, combined with his strong primary performance and substantial fundraising lead over Katy Padilla Stout. Herrera’s profile as a Second Amendment activist has consolidated conservative support following the scandal-driven resignation of former Representative Tony Gonzales, while recent polls show him ahead by roughly six points. Democrats have targeted the seat through DCCC inclusion and high-profile endorsements for Stout focused on gun safety, yet the open seat’s vacancy until 2027 and the district’s border demographics continue to favor the Republican nominee heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$40,160終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brandon Herrera holds a clear edge in the TX-23 race due to the district’s established Republican tilt, evidenced by its 15-point Trump margin in 2024, combined with his strong primary performance and substantial fundraising lead over Katy Padilla Stout. Herrera’s profile as a Second Amendment activist has consolidated conservative support following the scandal-driven resignation of former Representative Tony Gonzales, while recent polls show him ahead by roughly six points. Democrats have targeted the seat through DCCC inclusion and high-profile endorsements for Stout focused on gun safety, yet the open seat’s vacancy until 2027 and the district’s border demographics continue to favor the Republican nominee heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$40,160終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Brandon Herrera holds a clear edge in the TX-23 race due to the district’s established Republican tilt, evidenced by its 15-point Trump margin in 2024, combined with his strong primary performance and substantial fundraising lead over Katy Padilla Stout. Herrera’s profile as a Second Amendment activist has consolidated conservative support following the scandal-driven resignation of former Representative Tony Gonzales, while recent polls show him ahead by roughly six points. Democrats have targeted the seat through DCCC inclusion and high-profile endorsements for Stout focused on gun safety, yet the open seat’s vacancy until 2027 and the district’s border demographics continue to favor the Republican nominee heading into the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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