The TX-03 district's established Republican lean, reinforced by 2024 presidential and congressional results plus post-redistricting boundaries that added rural counties, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Keith Self. Self secured his party's nomination with over 80% in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Challenger Evan Hunt, a retired Air Force lieutenant colonel, has emphasized town halls, infrastructure funding, term limits, and calls for debates that the incumbent has declined, yet these efforts have produced no evident shift in the race's fundamentals. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unanticipated national Democratic surge would represent the primary paths to altering the current implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$35,081 Vol.
$35,081 Vol.
2026/11/02
キース・セルフ（共和党）
95%
エバン・ハント（民主党）
6%
$35,081 Vol.
$35,081 Vol.
2026/11/02
キース・セルフ（共和党）
$24,328 Vol.
95%
エバン・ハント（民主党）
$10,753 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-03 district's established Republican lean, reinforced by 2024 presidential and congressional results plus post-redistricting boundaries that added rural counties, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Keith Self. Self secured his party's nomination with over 80% in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Challenger Evan Hunt, a retired Air Force lieutenant colonel, has emphasized town halls, infrastructure funding, term limits, and calls for debates that the incumbent has declined, yet these efforts have produced no evident shift in the race's fundamentals. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unanticipated national Democratic surge would represent the primary paths to altering the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$35,081終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-03 district's established Republican lean, reinforced by 2024 presidential and congressional results plus post-redistricting boundaries that added rural counties, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Keith Self. Self secured his party's nomination with over 80% in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Challenger Evan Hunt, a retired Air Force lieutenant colonel, has emphasized town halls, infrastructure funding, term limits, and calls for debates that the incumbent has declined, yet these efforts have produced no evident shift in the race's fundamentals. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unanticipated national Democratic surge would represent the primary paths to altering the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$35,081終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The TX-03 district's established Republican lean, reinforced by 2024 presidential and congressional results plus post-redistricting boundaries that added rural counties, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Keith Self. Self secured his party's nomination with over 80% in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Challenger Evan Hunt, a retired Air Force lieutenant colonel, has emphasized town halls, infrastructure funding, term limits, and calls for debates that the incumbent has declined, yet these efforts have produced no evident shift in the race's fundamentals. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unanticipated national Democratic surge would represent the primary paths to altering the current implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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