Amish Shah holds a strong lead in trader pricing for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District because the open seat, vacated when Republican incumbent David Schweikert pursued the governorship, sits in a competitive suburban Phoenix area that Donald Trump carried by just three points in 2024. Shah, a former state representative and emergency physician who won the July Democratic primary on a grassroots campaign, brings legislative experience and name recognition from his narrow 2024 general-election loss. Jay Feely, the Republican nominee and former NFL kicker endorsed by Trump, prevailed in his primary but enters as a political newcomer facing questions about his record on key issues such as taxes, immigration enforcement, and deregulation. With the November 3 general election weeks away and forecasters rating the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic, traders view the race as closely contested yet tilted toward the candidate with deeper local roots and recent primary momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,668 Vol.
$14,668 Vol.
2026/11/03
アミッシュ・シャー（民主党）
71%
ジェイ・フィーリー（共和党）
31%
$14,668 Vol.
$14,668 Vol.
2026/11/03
アミッシュ・シャー（民主党）
$9,461 Vol.
71%
ジェイ・フィーリー（共和党）
$5,206 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Amish Shah holds a strong lead in trader pricing for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District because the open seat, vacated when Republican incumbent David Schweikert pursued the governorship, sits in a competitive suburban Phoenix area that Donald Trump carried by just three points in 2024. Shah, a former state representative and emergency physician who won the July Democratic primary on a grassroots campaign, brings legislative experience and name recognition from his narrow 2024 general-election loss. Jay Feely, the Republican nominee and former NFL kicker endorsed by Trump, prevailed in his primary but enters as a political newcomer facing questions about his record on key issues such as taxes, immigration enforcement, and deregulation. With the November 3 general election weeks away and forecasters rating the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic, traders view the race as closely contested yet tilted toward the candidate with deeper local roots and recent primary momentum.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ET
音量
$14,668終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Amish Shah holds a strong lead in trader pricing for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District because the open seat, vacated when Republican incumbent David Schweikert pursued the governorship, sits in a competitive suburban Phoenix area that Donald Trump carried by just three points in 2024. Shah, a former state representative and emergency physician who won the July Democratic primary on a grassroots campaign, brings legislative experience and name recognition from his narrow 2024 general-election loss. Jay Feely, the Republican nominee and former NFL kicker endorsed by Trump, prevailed in his primary but enters as a political newcomer facing questions about his record on key issues such as taxes, immigration enforcement, and deregulation. With the November 3 general election weeks away and forecasters rating the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic, traders view the race as closely contested yet tilted toward the candidate with deeper local roots and recent primary momentum.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,668終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Amish Shah holds a strong lead in trader pricing for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District because the open seat, vacated when Republican incumbent David Schweikert pursued the governorship, sits in a competitive suburban Phoenix area that Donald Trump carried by just three points in 2024. Shah, a former state representative and emergency physician who won the July Democratic primary on a grassroots campaign, brings legislative experience and name recognition from his narrow 2024 general-election loss. Jay Feely, the Republican nominee and former NFL kicker endorsed by Trump, prevailed in his primary but enters as a political newcomer facing questions about his record on key issues such as taxes, immigration enforcement, and deregulation. With the November 3 general election weeks away and forecasters rating the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic, traders view the race as closely contested yet tilted toward the candidate with deeper local roots and recent primary momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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