Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a strong position in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean and his 2024 victory margin over the same Democratic opponent. Recent August polling shows Crane ahead by double digits in one survey and within single digits in another, consistent with nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as likely Republican. Crane’s substantial fundraising edge and early advertising reservations have bolstered his campaign infrastructure, while Jonathan Nez has focused attacks on spending and economic issues. Both candidates advanced unopposed from their July primaries in this rematch, leaving turnout among rural voters, Flagstaff, and the Navajo Nation as key variables that could influence final margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
イーライ・クレイン（共和党）
69%
ジョナサン・ネズ（民主党）
28%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
イーライ・クレイン（共和党）
$2,260 Vol.
69%
ジョナサン・ネズ（民主党）
$2,152 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a strong position in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean and his 2024 victory margin over the same Democratic opponent. Recent August polling shows Crane ahead by double digits in one survey and within single digits in another, consistent with nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as likely Republican. Crane’s substantial fundraising edge and early advertising reservations have bolstered his campaign infrastructure, while Jonathan Nez has focused attacks on spending and economic issues. Both candidates advanced unopposed from their July primaries in this rematch, leaving turnout among rural voters, Flagstaff, and the Navajo Nation as key variables that could influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
音量
$4,412終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a strong position in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean and his 2024 victory margin over the same Democratic opponent. Recent August polling shows Crane ahead by double digits in one survey and within single digits in another, consistent with nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as likely Republican. Crane’s substantial fundraising edge and early advertising reservations have bolstered his campaign infrastructure, while Jonathan Nez has focused attacks on spending and economic issues. Both candidates advanced unopposed from their July primaries in this rematch, leaving turnout among rural voters, Flagstaff, and the Navajo Nation as key variables that could influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$4,412終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a strong position in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean and his 2024 victory margin over the same Democratic opponent. Recent August polling shows Crane ahead by double digits in one survey and within single digits in another, consistent with nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as likely Republican. Crane’s substantial fundraising edge and early advertising reservations have bolstered his campaign infrastructure, while Jonathan Nez has focused attacks on spending and economic issues. Both candidates advanced unopposed from their July primaries in this rematch, leaving turnout among rural voters, Flagstaff, and the Navajo Nation as key variables that could influence final margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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