Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in Florida’s November 2026 special Senate election as the Republican incumbent appointed to complete Marco Rubio’s term. She secured her party’s nomination with nearly 80 percent of the primary vote and benefits from Florida’s consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by strong statewide margins in recent cycles, plus endorsements from party leaders and a sizable fundraising edge. Democrat Angie Nixon, who upset Alex Vindman in her August primary, faces structural headwinds including limited resources and the state’s partisan lean. Current trader pricing reflects these fundamentals, with Moody’s incumbency, party infrastructure, and historical GOP performance in Senate contests driving the wide gap. A late scandal, unexpected national shift, or turnout surge could narrow the contest, though such developments remain low-probability based on available polling and state fundamentals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$110,520 Vol.
$110,520 Vol.
アシュリー・ムーディ（共和党）
92%
アンジー・ニクソン（民主党）
8%
$110,520 Vol.
$110,520 Vol.
アシュリー・ムーディ（共和党）
$55,093 Vol.
92%
アンジー・ニクソン（民主党）
$55,426 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in Florida’s November 2026 special Senate election as the Republican incumbent appointed to complete Marco Rubio’s term. She secured her party’s nomination with nearly 80 percent of the primary vote and benefits from Florida’s consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by strong statewide margins in recent cycles, plus endorsements from party leaders and a sizable fundraising edge. Democrat Angie Nixon, who upset Alex Vindman in her August primary, faces structural headwinds including limited resources and the state’s partisan lean. Current trader pricing reflects these fundamentals, with Moody’s incumbency, party infrastructure, and historical GOP performance in Senate contests driving the wide gap. A late scandal, unexpected national shift, or turnout surge could narrow the contest, though such developments remain low-probability based on available polling and state fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
音量
$110,520マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in Florida’s November 2026 special Senate election as the Republican incumbent appointed to complete Marco Rubio’s term. She secured her party’s nomination with nearly 80 percent of the primary vote and benefits from Florida’s consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by strong statewide margins in recent cycles, plus endorsements from party leaders and a sizable fundraising edge. Democrat Angie Nixon, who upset Alex Vindman in her August primary, faces structural headwinds including limited resources and the state’s partisan lean. Current trader pricing reflects these fundamentals, with Moody’s incumbency, party infrastructure, and historical GOP performance in Senate contests driving the wide gap. A late scandal, unexpected national shift, or turnout surge could narrow the contest, though such developments remain low-probability based on available polling and state fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$110,520マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in Florida’s November 2026 special Senate election as the Republican incumbent appointed to complete Marco Rubio’s term. She secured her party’s nomination with nearly 80 percent of the primary vote and benefits from Florida’s consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by strong statewide margins in recent cycles, plus endorsements from party leaders and a sizable fundraising edge. Democrat Angie Nixon, who upset Alex Vindman in her August primary, faces structural headwinds including limited resources and the state’s partisan lean. Current trader pricing reflects these fundamentals, with Moody’s incumbency, party infrastructure, and historical GOP performance in Senate contests driving the wide gap. A late scandal, unexpected national shift, or turnout surge could narrow the contest, though such developments remain low-probability based on available polling and state fundamentals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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