Republican Kevin Hern holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Oklahoma Senate race due to the state's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in August polling and forecasts rating the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Hern secured the nomination with nearly 70 percent in the June primary after receiving President Trump's endorsement, while Democrat N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas emerged from an August runoff with limited name recognition and fundraising. The open seat, created by Markwayne Mullin's resignation, follows decades of Republican dominance, including no Democratic Senate win since 1990 and a 34-point Trump margin in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals. A major scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain unlikely given current indicators.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$20,643 Vol.
$20,643 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
95%
民主党
4%
$20,643 Vol.
$20,643 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$14,061 Vol.
95%
民主党
$6,582 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Kevin Hern holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Oklahoma Senate race due to the state's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in August polling and forecasts rating the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Hern secured the nomination with nearly 70 percent in the June primary after receiving President Trump's endorsement, while Democrat N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas emerged from an August runoff with limited name recognition and fundraising. The open seat, created by Markwayne Mullin's resignation, follows decades of Republican dominance, including no Democratic Senate win since 1990 and a 34-point Trump margin in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals. A major scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain unlikely given current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
音量
$20,643終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Kevin Hern holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Oklahoma Senate race due to the state's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in August polling and forecasts rating the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Hern secured the nomination with nearly 70 percent in the June primary after receiving President Trump's endorsement, while Democrat N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas emerged from an August runoff with limited name recognition and fundraising. The open seat, created by Markwayne Mullin's resignation, follows decades of Republican dominance, including no Democratic Senate win since 1990 and a 34-point Trump margin in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals. A major scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain unlikely given current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$20,643終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Kevin Hern holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Oklahoma Senate race due to the state's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in August polling and forecasts rating the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Hern secured the nomination with nearly 70 percent in the June primary after receiving President Trump's endorsement, while Democrat N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas emerged from an August runoff with limited name recognition and fundraising. The open seat, created by Markwayne Mullin's resignation, follows decades of Republican dominance, including no Democratic Senate win since 1990 and a 34-point Trump margin in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals. A major scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain unlikely given current indicators.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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