Ralph Alvarado holds a strong position as the Republican nominee in Kentucky’s open 6th congressional district, where the seat’s historical Republican tilt and Donald Trump’s endorsement have shaped trader consensus around a likely GOP hold. The district last saw a Democratic representative more than 15 years ago, with Trump carrying it by double digits in recent cycles. Alvarado, a physician and former state senator, won his May primary and benefits from established party infrastructure. Democrat Zach Dembo, a former federal prosecutor and Navy veteran endorsed by Governor Andy Beshear, secured his nomination but faces an uphill path despite one summer poll showing a statistical tie. The November 3 general election timing leaves room for late shifts in turnout or national conditions to influence the final margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,981 Vol.
$34,981 Vol.
2026/11/02
ラルフ・アルバラド（共和党）
73%
ザック・デンボ（民主党）
26%
$34,981 Vol.
$34,981 Vol.
2026/11/02
ラルフ・アルバラド（共和党）
$14,999 Vol.
73%
ザック・デンボ（民主党）
$19,983 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ralph Alvarado holds a strong position as the Republican nominee in Kentucky’s open 6th congressional district, where the seat’s historical Republican tilt and Donald Trump’s endorsement have shaped trader consensus around a likely GOP hold. The district last saw a Democratic representative more than 15 years ago, with Trump carrying it by double digits in recent cycles. Alvarado, a physician and former state senator, won his May primary and benefits from established party infrastructure. Democrat Zach Dembo, a former federal prosecutor and Navy veteran endorsed by Governor Andy Beshear, secured his nomination but faces an uphill path despite one summer poll showing a statistical tie. The November 3 general election timing leaves room for late shifts in turnout or national conditions to influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$34,981終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ralph Alvarado holds a strong position as the Republican nominee in Kentucky’s open 6th congressional district, where the seat’s historical Republican tilt and Donald Trump’s endorsement have shaped trader consensus around a likely GOP hold. The district last saw a Democratic representative more than 15 years ago, with Trump carrying it by double digits in recent cycles. Alvarado, a physician and former state senator, won his May primary and benefits from established party infrastructure. Democrat Zach Dembo, a former federal prosecutor and Navy veteran endorsed by Governor Andy Beshear, secured his nomination but faces an uphill path despite one summer poll showing a statistical tie. The November 3 general election timing leaves room for late shifts in turnout or national conditions to influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$34,981終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Ralph Alvarado holds a strong position as the Republican nominee in Kentucky’s open 6th congressional district, where the seat’s historical Republican tilt and Donald Trump’s endorsement have shaped trader consensus around a likely GOP hold. The district last saw a Democratic representative more than 15 years ago, with Trump carrying it by double digits in recent cycles. Alvarado, a physician and former state senator, won his May primary and benefits from established party infrastructure. Democrat Zach Dembo, a former federal prosecutor and Navy veteran endorsed by Governor Andy Beshear, secured his nomination but faces an uphill path despite one summer poll showing a statistical tie. The November 3 general election timing leaves room for late shifts in turnout or national conditions to influence the final margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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