Incumbent Sarah Elfreth holds a commanding lead in Maryland’s 3rd congressional district general election due to her decisive June 2026 primary victory with roughly 75 percent of the Democratic vote, substantial cash-on-hand advantage exceeding $1.1 million compared to opponent Berney Flowers’ limited resources, and the district’s consistent Solid Democratic rating from forecasters. The suburban district covering Howard and Anne Arundel counties has favored Democrats in recent cycles, supporting Elfreth’s path to reelection on November 3, 2026. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural barriers for the Republican nominee, a retired Air Force officer who prevailed in a fragmented GOP primary. A late scandal, national Republican surge, or significant turnout shift could still narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors at this stage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$45,882 Vol.
$45,882 Vol.
2026/11/02
サラ・エルフレス（民主党）
96%
バーニー・フラワーズ（共和党）
5%
$45,882 Vol.
$45,882 Vol.
2026/11/02
サラ・エルフレス（民主党）
$20,975 Vol.
96%
バーニー・フラワーズ（共和党）
$24,908 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sarah Elfreth holds a commanding lead in Maryland’s 3rd congressional district general election due to her decisive June 2026 primary victory with roughly 75 percent of the Democratic vote, substantial cash-on-hand advantage exceeding $1.1 million compared to opponent Berney Flowers’ limited resources, and the district’s consistent Solid Democratic rating from forecasters. The suburban district covering Howard and Anne Arundel counties has favored Democrats in recent cycles, supporting Elfreth’s path to reelection on November 3, 2026. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural barriers for the Republican nominee, a retired Air Force officer who prevailed in a fragmented GOP primary. A late scandal, national Republican surge, or significant turnout shift could still narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$45,882終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sarah Elfreth holds a commanding lead in Maryland’s 3rd congressional district general election due to her decisive June 2026 primary victory with roughly 75 percent of the Democratic vote, substantial cash-on-hand advantage exceeding $1.1 million compared to opponent Berney Flowers’ limited resources, and the district’s consistent Solid Democratic rating from forecasters. The suburban district covering Howard and Anne Arundel counties has favored Democrats in recent cycles, supporting Elfreth’s path to reelection on November 3, 2026. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural barriers for the Republican nominee, a retired Air Force officer who prevailed in a fragmented GOP primary. A late scandal, national Republican surge, or significant turnout shift could still narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$45,882終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sarah Elfreth holds a commanding lead in Maryland’s 3rd congressional district general election due to her decisive June 2026 primary victory with roughly 75 percent of the Democratic vote, substantial cash-on-hand advantage exceeding $1.1 million compared to opponent Berney Flowers’ limited resources, and the district’s consistent Solid Democratic rating from forecasters. The suburban district covering Howard and Anne Arundel counties has favored Democrats in recent cycles, supporting Elfreth’s path to reelection on November 3, 2026. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural barriers for the Republican nominee, a retired Air Force officer who prevailed in a fragmented GOP primary. A late scandal, national Republican surge, or significant turnout shift could still narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors at this stage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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