The district’s D+10 partisan lean and Olszewski’s decisive June primary victory with roughly 85 percent of the vote anchor trader consensus on the Democratic nominee. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting consistent historical margins and early candidate consolidation on both sides. Olszewski’s substantial cash-on-hand advantage further reinforces the position, while Wallace’s limited fundraising leaves few resources for a competitive challenge. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or health event could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s established baseline and procedural timeline limit realistic pathways for an upset before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,629 Vol.
$24,629 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジョニー・オルシェフスキー（民主党）
96%
デイブ・ウォレス（共和党）
5%
$24,629 Vol.
$24,629 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジョニー・オルシェフスキー（民主党）
$12,596 Vol.
96%
デイブ・ウォレス（共和党）
$12,034 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s D+10 partisan lean and Olszewski’s decisive June primary victory with roughly 85 percent of the vote anchor trader consensus on the Democratic nominee. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting consistent historical margins and early candidate consolidation on both sides. Olszewski’s substantial cash-on-hand advantage further reinforces the position, while Wallace’s limited fundraising leaves few resources for a competitive challenge. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or health event could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s established baseline and procedural timeline limit realistic pathways for an upset before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$24,629終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s D+10 partisan lean and Olszewski’s decisive June primary victory with roughly 85 percent of the vote anchor trader consensus on the Democratic nominee. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting consistent historical margins and early candidate consolidation on both sides. Olszewski’s substantial cash-on-hand advantage further reinforces the position, while Wallace’s limited fundraising leaves few resources for a competitive challenge. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or health event could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s established baseline and procedural timeline limit realistic pathways for an upset before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,629終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The district’s D+10 partisan lean and Olszewski’s decisive June primary victory with roughly 85 percent of the vote anchor trader consensus on the Democratic nominee. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting consistent historical margins and early candidate consolidation on both sides. Olszewski’s substantial cash-on-hand advantage further reinforces the position, while Wallace’s limited fundraising leaves few resources for a competitive challenge. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or health event could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s established baseline and procedural timeline limit realistic pathways for an upset before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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