Incumbent Brian Babin benefits from Texas's 36th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 61.8% share and Babin's own 69.4% win in 2024, along with an R+18 partisan voting index. Babin secured his party's nomination with 81% in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $900,000 compared to Rhonda Hart's minimal resources. Hart advanced from her primary but faces structural barriers in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus assigns Babin a 92.5% implied probability due to these fundamentals. A shift would require an unprecedented national Democratic surge, a major personal scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected redistricting changes before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$30,019 Vol.
$30,019 Vol.
2026/11/02
ブライアン・バビン（共和党）
93%
ロンダ・ハート（民主党）
7%
$30,019 Vol.
$30,019 Vol.
2026/11/02
ブライアン・バビン（共和党）
$8,417 Vol.
93%
ロンダ・ハート（民主党）
$21,602 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Brian Babin benefits from Texas's 36th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 61.8% share and Babin's own 69.4% win in 2024, along with an R+18 partisan voting index. Babin secured his party's nomination with 81% in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $900,000 compared to Rhonda Hart's minimal resources. Hart advanced from her primary but faces structural barriers in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus assigns Babin a 92.5% implied probability due to these fundamentals. A shift would require an unprecedented national Democratic surge, a major personal scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected redistricting changes before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$30,019終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Brian Babin benefits from Texas's 36th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 61.8% share and Babin's own 69.4% win in 2024, along with an R+18 partisan voting index. Babin secured his party's nomination with 81% in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $900,000 compared to Rhonda Hart's minimal resources. Hart advanced from her primary but faces structural barriers in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus assigns Babin a 92.5% implied probability due to these fundamentals. A shift would require an unprecedented national Democratic surge, a major personal scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected redistricting changes before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$30,019終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Brian Babin benefits from Texas's 36th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 61.8% share and Babin's own 69.4% win in 2024, along with an R+18 partisan voting index. Babin secured his party's nomination with 81% in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $900,000 compared to Rhonda Hart's minimal resources. Hart advanced from her primary but faces structural barriers in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus assigns Babin a 92.5% implied probability due to these fundamentals. A shift would require an unprecedented national Democratic surge, a major personal scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected redistricting changes before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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