Michigan's 2nd Congressional District carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15, providing a durable structural advantage for Republicans in House races. Incumbent John Moolenaar secured his party's nomination without opposition in the August 4, 2026 primary, while Democrat Ben Ambrose prevailed in a competitive three-way contest. Forecasters from Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ have uniformly rated the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Moolenaar maintains a substantial fundraising lead over Ambrose, consistent with historical patterns in this district. The general election on November 3, 2026, is unlikely to shift absent an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or national political realignment exceeding recent benchmarks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$53,874 Vol.
$53,874 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジョン・ムーレナール（共和党）
98%
ベン・アンブローズ（民主党）
1%
$53,874 Vol.
$53,874 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジョン・ムーレナール（共和党）
$22,752 Vol.
98%
ベン・アンブローズ（民主党）
$31,122 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 2nd Congressional District carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15, providing a durable structural advantage for Republicans in House races. Incumbent John Moolenaar secured his party's nomination without opposition in the August 4, 2026 primary, while Democrat Ben Ambrose prevailed in a competitive three-way contest. Forecasters from Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ have uniformly rated the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Moolenaar maintains a substantial fundraising lead over Ambrose, consistent with historical patterns in this district. The general election on November 3, 2026, is unlikely to shift absent an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or national political realignment exceeding recent benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$53,874終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 2nd Congressional District carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15, providing a durable structural advantage for Republicans in House races. Incumbent John Moolenaar secured his party's nomination without opposition in the August 4, 2026 primary, while Democrat Ben Ambrose prevailed in a competitive three-way contest. Forecasters from Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ have uniformly rated the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Moolenaar maintains a substantial fundraising lead over Ambrose, consistent with historical patterns in this district. The general election on November 3, 2026, is unlikely to shift absent an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or national political realignment exceeding recent benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$53,874終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 2nd Congressional District carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15, providing a durable structural advantage for Republicans in House races. Incumbent John Moolenaar secured his party's nomination without opposition in the August 4, 2026 primary, while Democrat Ben Ambrose prevailed in a competitive three-way contest. Forecasters from Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ have uniformly rated the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Moolenaar maintains a substantial fundraising lead over Ambrose, consistent with historical patterns in this district. The general election on November 3, 2026, is unlikely to shift absent an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or national political realignment exceeding recent benchmarks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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