Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan's 12th Congressional District primary on August 4, 2026, defeating challengers with roughly 69-74% of the vote in a district rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The area, anchored in northern Wayne County with cities such as Dearborn and Southfield, has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 70% in recent cycles, reinforced by Tlaib's incumbency and primary consolidation. James Hooper advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical performance. Market pricing reflects these baseline factors ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate limited scope for reversal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$39,234 Vol.
$39,234 Vol.
2026/11/02
ラシダ・タリーブ（民主党）
96%
ジェームズ・フーパー（共和党）
1%
$39,234 Vol.
$39,234 Vol.
2026/11/02
ラシダ・タリーブ（民主党）
$21,751 Vol.
96%
ジェームズ・フーパー（共和党）
$17,483 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan's 12th Congressional District primary on August 4, 2026, defeating challengers with roughly 69-74% of the vote in a district rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The area, anchored in northern Wayne County with cities such as Dearborn and Southfield, has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 70% in recent cycles, reinforced by Tlaib's incumbency and primary consolidation. James Hooper advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical performance. Market pricing reflects these baseline factors ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate limited scope for reversal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$39,234終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan's 12th Congressional District primary on August 4, 2026, defeating challengers with roughly 69-74% of the vote in a district rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The area, anchored in northern Wayne County with cities such as Dearborn and Southfield, has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 70% in recent cycles, reinforced by Tlaib's incumbency and primary consolidation. James Hooper advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical performance. Market pricing reflects these baseline factors ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate limited scope for reversal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$39,234終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan's 12th Congressional District primary on August 4, 2026, defeating challengers with roughly 69-74% of the vote in a district rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The area, anchored in northern Wayne County with cities such as Dearborn and Southfield, has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 70% in recent cycles, reinforced by Tlaib's incumbency and primary consolidation. James Hooper advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical performance. Market pricing reflects these baseline factors ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate limited scope for reversal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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