Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District by defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 4, 2026 primary with 51.9% of the vote. The solidly Democratic district, encompassing portions of Detroit and Wayne County suburbs, carries a strong partisan lean that favors the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. Republican nominee T.P. Nykoriak advanced unopposed but faces structural disadvantages, including a prior federal conviction and limited name recognition in a district where Democratic candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Trader consensus at 97.7% for McKinney reflects these fundamentals. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the outcome, though such developments remain low-probability given the district’s voting patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$49,562 Vol.
$49,562 Vol.
2026/11/03
ドナヴァン・マッキニー（民主党）
98%
T.P. ニコリアック（共和党）
<1%
$49,562 Vol.
$49,562 Vol.
2026/11/03
ドナヴァン・マッキニー（民主党）
$29,323 Vol.
98%
T.P. ニコリアック（共和党）
$20,239 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District by defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 4, 2026 primary with 51.9% of the vote. The solidly Democratic district, encompassing portions of Detroit and Wayne County suburbs, carries a strong partisan lean that favors the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. Republican nominee T.P. Nykoriak advanced unopposed but faces structural disadvantages, including a prior federal conviction and limited name recognition in a district where Democratic candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Trader consensus at 97.7% for McKinney reflects these fundamentals. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the outcome, though such developments remain low-probability given the district’s voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$49,562終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District by defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 4, 2026 primary with 51.9% of the vote. The solidly Democratic district, encompassing portions of Detroit and Wayne County suburbs, carries a strong partisan lean that favors the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. Republican nominee T.P. Nykoriak advanced unopposed but faces structural disadvantages, including a prior federal conviction and limited name recognition in a district where Democratic candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Trader consensus at 97.7% for McKinney reflects these fundamentals. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the outcome, though such developments remain low-probability given the district’s voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$49,562終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District by defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 4, 2026 primary with 51.9% of the vote. The solidly Democratic district, encompassing portions of Detroit and Wayne County suburbs, carries a strong partisan lean that favors the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. Republican nominee T.P. Nykoriak advanced unopposed but faces structural disadvantages, including a prior federal conviction and limited name recognition in a district where Democratic candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Trader consensus at 97.7% for McKinney reflects these fundamentals. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the outcome, though such developments remain low-probability given the district’s voting patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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