Addison McDowell holds a commanding lead in the NC-06 House race as the Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by forecasters, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+9 after recent redistricting. His unopposed primary advance, substantial fundraising edge of roughly $1.23 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Cyril Jefferson’s $200,000 through June 2026, and alignment with district voting patterns underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability. Jefferson, the High Point mayor who won a competitive March primary, faces structural headwinds in a midterm environment favoring the incumbent party. Late developments such as unusually high Democratic turnout, major scandals, or significant shifts in national political conditions could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$49,552 Vol.
$49,552 Vol.
2026/11/02
アディソン・マクドウェル（共和党）
92%
シリル・ジェファーソン（民主党）
9%
$49,552 Vol.
$49,552 Vol.
2026/11/02
アディソン・マクドウェル（共和党）
$27,681 Vol.
92%
シリル・ジェファーソン（民主党）
$21,871 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Addison McDowell holds a commanding lead in the NC-06 House race as the Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by forecasters, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+9 after recent redistricting. His unopposed primary advance, substantial fundraising edge of roughly $1.23 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Cyril Jefferson’s $200,000 through June 2026, and alignment with district voting patterns underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability. Jefferson, the High Point mayor who won a competitive March primary, faces structural headwinds in a midterm environment favoring the incumbent party. Late developments such as unusually high Democratic turnout, major scandals, or significant shifts in national political conditions could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$49,552終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Addison McDowell holds a commanding lead in the NC-06 House race as the Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by forecasters, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+9 after recent redistricting. His unopposed primary advance, substantial fundraising edge of roughly $1.23 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Cyril Jefferson’s $200,000 through June 2026, and alignment with district voting patterns underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability. Jefferson, the High Point mayor who won a competitive March primary, faces structural headwinds in a midterm environment favoring the incumbent party. Late developments such as unusually high Democratic turnout, major scandals, or significant shifts in national political conditions could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$49,552終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Addison McDowell holds a commanding lead in the NC-06 House race as the Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by forecasters, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+9 after recent redistricting. His unopposed primary advance, substantial fundraising edge of roughly $1.23 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Cyril Jefferson’s $200,000 through June 2026, and alignment with district voting patterns underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability. Jefferson, the High Point mayor who won a competitive March primary, faces structural headwinds in a midterm environment favoring the incumbent party. Late developments such as unusually high Democratic turnout, major scandals, or significant shifts in national political conditions could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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