The South Carolina 4th congressional district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump's double-digit margins in recent cycles and Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent William Timmons at 92.5%. Timmons secured renomination in the June 9 primary with 65.8% against two challengers, demonstrating party cohesion ahead of facing Democrat Courtney McClain, who advanced unopposed. The district's voting patterns, combined with Timmons' established fundraising and name recognition in the Greenville-Spartanburg area, have kept the race noncompetitive in available forecasts. An October 8 debate offers McClain a platform, yet major shifts would likely require late developments such as scandals, health events, or an unanticipated national partisan swing before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$43,734 Vol.
$43,734 Vol.
2026/11/03
ウィリアム・ティモンズ（共和党）
93%
コートニー・マクレイン（民主党）
7%
$43,734 Vol.
$43,734 Vol.
2026/11/03
ウィリアム・ティモンズ（共和党）
$20,131 Vol.
93%
コートニー・マクレイン（民主党）
$23,603 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The South Carolina 4th congressional district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump's double-digit margins in recent cycles and Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent William Timmons at 92.5%. Timmons secured renomination in the June 9 primary with 65.8% against two challengers, demonstrating party cohesion ahead of facing Democrat Courtney McClain, who advanced unopposed. The district's voting patterns, combined with Timmons' established fundraising and name recognition in the Greenville-Spartanburg area, have kept the race noncompetitive in available forecasts. An October 8 debate offers McClain a platform, yet major shifts would likely require late developments such as scandals, health events, or an unanticipated national partisan swing before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$43,734終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The South Carolina 4th congressional district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump's double-digit margins in recent cycles and Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent William Timmons at 92.5%. Timmons secured renomination in the June 9 primary with 65.8% against two challengers, demonstrating party cohesion ahead of facing Democrat Courtney McClain, who advanced unopposed. The district's voting patterns, combined with Timmons' established fundraising and name recognition in the Greenville-Spartanburg area, have kept the race noncompetitive in available forecasts. An October 8 debate offers McClain a platform, yet major shifts would likely require late developments such as scandals, health events, or an unanticipated national partisan swing before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$43,734終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The South Carolina 4th congressional district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump's double-digit margins in recent cycles and Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent William Timmons at 92.5%. Timmons secured renomination in the June 9 primary with 65.8% against two challengers, demonstrating party cohesion ahead of facing Democrat Courtney McClain, who advanced unopposed. The district's voting patterns, combined with Timmons' established fundraising and name recognition in the Greenville-Spartanburg area, have kept the race noncompetitive in available forecasts. An October 8 debate offers McClain a platform, yet major shifts would likely require late developments such as scandals, health events, or an unanticipated national partisan swing before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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