The TX-19 district's entrenched Republican advantage, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+25 and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on the Republican nominee. Jodey Arrington's retirement opened the seat, yet Tom Sell secured the nomination after winning the May 2026 Republican runoff, while Democrat Kyle Rable advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's West Texas geography and voting patterns. With the November 3 general election two months away, limited polling or campaign developments have altered the outlook. A Democratic upset would require an unprecedented national swing or localized disruption, both viewed as low-probability events by market participants.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,027 Vol.
$25,027 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
95%
民主党
5%
$25,027 Vol.
$25,027 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$2,921 Vol.
95%
民主党
$22,106 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-19 district's entrenched Republican advantage, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+25 and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on the Republican nominee. Jodey Arrington's retirement opened the seat, yet Tom Sell secured the nomination after winning the May 2026 Republican runoff, while Democrat Kyle Rable advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's West Texas geography and voting patterns. With the November 3 general election two months away, limited polling or campaign developments have altered the outlook. A Democratic upset would require an unprecedented national swing or localized disruption, both viewed as low-probability events by market participants.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$25,027終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-19 district's entrenched Republican advantage, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+25 and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on the Republican nominee. Jodey Arrington's retirement opened the seat, yet Tom Sell secured the nomination after winning the May 2026 Republican runoff, while Democrat Kyle Rable advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's West Texas geography and voting patterns. With the November 3 general election two months away, limited polling or campaign developments have altered the outlook. A Democratic upset would require an unprecedented national swing or localized disruption, both viewed as low-probability events by market participants.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$25,027終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The TX-19 district's entrenched Republican advantage, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+25 and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on the Republican nominee. Jodey Arrington's retirement opened the seat, yet Tom Sell secured the nomination after winning the May 2026 Republican runoff, while Democrat Kyle Rable advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's West Texas geography and voting patterns. With the November 3 general election two months away, limited polling or campaign developments have altered the outlook. A Democratic upset would require an unprecedented national swing or localized disruption, both viewed as low-probability events by market participants.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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