Frederick Haynes III secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 30th Congressional District with over 72% in the March 2026 primary, backed by endorsements from outgoing Representative Jasmine Crockett and key local and progressive organizations. The open seat, anchored in heavily Democratic areas of southern Dallas County with a strong recent partisan voting record, is rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters projecting a wide margin. Republican nominee Everett Jackson advanced from a low-turnout May runoff but trails significantly in fundraising and visibility. Trader consensus around Haynes's commanding position aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or sharp shifts in national turnout patterns could still influence the November general election outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$48,309 Vol.
$48,309 Vol.
2026/11/02
フレデリック・ヘインズ3世（民主党）
96%
エベレット・ジャクソン（共和党）
2%
$48,309 Vol.
$48,309 Vol.
2026/11/02
フレデリック・ヘインズ3世（民主党）
$5,583 Vol.
96%
エベレット・ジャクソン（共和党）
$42,726 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Frederick Haynes III secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 30th Congressional District with over 72% in the March 2026 primary, backed by endorsements from outgoing Representative Jasmine Crockett and key local and progressive organizations. The open seat, anchored in heavily Democratic areas of southern Dallas County with a strong recent partisan voting record, is rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters projecting a wide margin. Republican nominee Everett Jackson advanced from a low-turnout May runoff but trails significantly in fundraising and visibility. Trader consensus around Haynes's commanding position aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or sharp shifts in national turnout patterns could still influence the November general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$48,309終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Frederick Haynes III secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 30th Congressional District with over 72% in the March 2026 primary, backed by endorsements from outgoing Representative Jasmine Crockett and key local and progressive organizations. The open seat, anchored in heavily Democratic areas of southern Dallas County with a strong recent partisan voting record, is rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters projecting a wide margin. Republican nominee Everett Jackson advanced from a low-turnout May runoff but trails significantly in fundraising and visibility. Trader consensus around Haynes's commanding position aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or sharp shifts in national turnout patterns could still influence the November general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$48,309終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Frederick Haynes III secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 30th Congressional District with over 72% in the March 2026 primary, backed by endorsements from outgoing Representative Jasmine Crockett and key local and progressive organizations. The open seat, anchored in heavily Democratic areas of southern Dallas County with a strong recent partisan voting record, is rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters projecting a wide margin. Republican nominee Everett Jackson advanced from a low-turnout May runoff but trails significantly in fundraising and visibility. Trader consensus around Haynes's commanding position aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or sharp shifts in national turnout patterns could still influence the November general election outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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