Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 33rd congressional district after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff, positioning him against Republican Patrick Gillespie in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent statewide races, underpins trader consensus around Allred's commanding position. Allred's prior House tenure, name recognition from his 2024 Senate bid, substantial fundraising exceeding $6 million, and endorsements from labor groups have reinforced this edge, while Gillespie reported no campaign funds. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments such as scandals, health events, or unusually low turnout could theoretically alter outcomes, though the district's structural advantages make major shifts improbable before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,594 Vol.
$15,594 Vol.
2026/11/02
コリン・オールレッド（民主党）
96%
パトリック・ギレスピー（共和党）
1%
$15,594 Vol.
$15,594 Vol.
2026/11/02
コリン・オールレッド（民主党）
$3,095 Vol.
96%
パトリック・ギレスピー（共和党）
$12,499 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 33rd congressional district after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff, positioning him against Republican Patrick Gillespie in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent statewide races, underpins trader consensus around Allred's commanding position. Allred's prior House tenure, name recognition from his 2024 Senate bid, substantial fundraising exceeding $6 million, and endorsements from labor groups have reinforced this edge, while Gillespie reported no campaign funds. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments such as scandals, health events, or unusually low turnout could theoretically alter outcomes, though the district's structural advantages make major shifts improbable before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$15,594終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 33rd congressional district after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff, positioning him against Republican Patrick Gillespie in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent statewide races, underpins trader consensus around Allred's commanding position. Allred's prior House tenure, name recognition from his 2024 Senate bid, substantial fundraising exceeding $6 million, and endorsements from labor groups have reinforced this edge, while Gillespie reported no campaign funds. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments such as scandals, health events, or unusually low turnout could theoretically alter outcomes, though the district's structural advantages make major shifts improbable before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,594終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 33rd congressional district after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff, positioning him against Republican Patrick Gillespie in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent statewide races, underpins trader consensus around Allred's commanding position. Allred's prior House tenure, name recognition from his 2024 Senate bid, substantial fundraising exceeding $6 million, and endorsements from labor groups have reinforced this edge, while Gillespie reported no campaign funds. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments such as scandals, health events, or unusually low turnout could theoretically alter outcomes, though the district's structural advantages make major shifts improbable before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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