John McGuire holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District as the Republican incumbent seeking a second term, reflecting the seat’s longstanding Republican lean and his decisive primary win over challenger Melanie Lucero. The district, encompassing rural Southside and Central Virginia including Charlottesville, Lynchburg, and Danville, has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, with baseline metrics showing a double-digit Republican advantage. Tom Perriello, the former representative who last held the seat in 2011, secured the Democratic nomination but faces structural headwinds in a midterm environment. Recent campaign developments, including Perriello’s emphasis on McGuire’s legislative record and debate participation alongside Democratic efforts to highlight competitiveness, have not shifted the race into toss-up territory according to trader pricing. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date, with an independent candidate also on the ballot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$66,472 Vol.
$66,472 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジョン・マグワイア（共和党）
84%
トム・ペリオロ（民主党）
15%
$66,472 Vol.
$66,472 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジョン・マグワイア（共和党）
$32,601 Vol.
84%
トム・ペリオロ（民主党）
$33,870 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John McGuire holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District as the Republican incumbent seeking a second term, reflecting the seat’s longstanding Republican lean and his decisive primary win over challenger Melanie Lucero. The district, encompassing rural Southside and Central Virginia including Charlottesville, Lynchburg, and Danville, has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, with baseline metrics showing a double-digit Republican advantage. Tom Perriello, the former representative who last held the seat in 2011, secured the Democratic nomination but faces structural headwinds in a midterm environment. Recent campaign developments, including Perriello’s emphasis on McGuire’s legislative record and debate participation alongside Democratic efforts to highlight competitiveness, have not shifted the race into toss-up territory according to trader pricing. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date, with an independent candidate also on the ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$66,472終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John McGuire holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District as the Republican incumbent seeking a second term, reflecting the seat’s longstanding Republican lean and his decisive primary win over challenger Melanie Lucero. The district, encompassing rural Southside and Central Virginia including Charlottesville, Lynchburg, and Danville, has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, with baseline metrics showing a double-digit Republican advantage. Tom Perriello, the former representative who last held the seat in 2011, secured the Democratic nomination but faces structural headwinds in a midterm environment. Recent campaign developments, including Perriello’s emphasis on McGuire’s legislative record and debate participation alongside Democratic efforts to highlight competitiveness, have not shifted the race into toss-up territory according to trader pricing. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date, with an independent candidate also on the ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$66,472終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...John McGuire holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District as the Republican incumbent seeking a second term, reflecting the seat’s longstanding Republican lean and his decisive primary win over challenger Melanie Lucero. The district, encompassing rural Southside and Central Virginia including Charlottesville, Lynchburg, and Danville, has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, with baseline metrics showing a double-digit Republican advantage. Tom Perriello, the former representative who last held the seat in 2011, secured the Democratic nomination but faces structural headwinds in a midterm environment. Recent campaign developments, including Perriello’s emphasis on McGuire’s legislative record and debate participation alongside Democratic efforts to highlight competitiveness, have not shifted the race into toss-up territory according to trader pricing. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date, with an independent candidate also on the ballot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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