Virginia's 9th Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat with a Partisan Voter Index of R+22, where incumbent Morgan Griffith has represented the rural southwest region since 2011 and secured 72.5% of the vote in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with the district's consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Griffith holds a substantial fundraising edge, with over $1.8 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Joy Powers' roughly $85,000 as of mid-July 2026. Powers advanced from an August primary but faces structural barriers in a district where recent presidential results favored Republicans by more than 40 points. Griffith's decision to forgo debates has not altered the market's assessment of the outcome. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current indicators point to continued Republican control.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$66,348 Vol.
$66,348 Vol.
2026/11/02
モーガン・グリフィス（共和党）
96%
ジョイ・パワーズ（民主党）
2%
$66,348 Vol.
$66,348 Vol.
2026/11/02
モーガン・グリフィス（共和党）
$44,841 Vol.
96%
ジョイ・パワーズ（民主党）
$21,507 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 9th Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat with a Partisan Voter Index of R+22, where incumbent Morgan Griffith has represented the rural southwest region since 2011 and secured 72.5% of the vote in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with the district's consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Griffith holds a substantial fundraising edge, with over $1.8 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Joy Powers' roughly $85,000 as of mid-July 2026. Powers advanced from an August primary but faces structural barriers in a district where recent presidential results favored Republicans by more than 40 points. Griffith's decision to forgo debates has not altered the market's assessment of the outcome. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current indicators point to continued Republican control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$66,348終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 9th Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat with a Partisan Voter Index of R+22, where incumbent Morgan Griffith has represented the rural southwest region since 2011 and secured 72.5% of the vote in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with the district's consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Griffith holds a substantial fundraising edge, with over $1.8 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Joy Powers' roughly $85,000 as of mid-July 2026. Powers advanced from an August primary but faces structural barriers in a district where recent presidential results favored Republicans by more than 40 points. Griffith's decision to forgo debates has not altered the market's assessment of the outcome. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current indicators point to continued Republican control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$66,348終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 9th Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat with a Partisan Voter Index of R+22, where incumbent Morgan Griffith has represented the rural southwest region since 2011 and secured 72.5% of the vote in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with the district's consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Griffith holds a substantial fundraising edge, with over $1.8 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Joy Powers' roughly $85,000 as of mid-July 2026. Powers advanced from an August primary but faces structural barriers in a district where recent presidential results favored Republicans by more than 40 points. Griffith's decision to forgo debates has not altered the market's assessment of the outcome. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current indicators point to continued Republican control.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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