Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” leads trader sentiment for the returning Best Dance category at the 2026 VMAs, buoyed by her record 13 nominations overall, the project’s critical acclaim as a dancefloor return, and her scheduled opening performance at the September 27 ceremony. The implied probability sits near 35.5% amid fan voting that closes September 25, reflecting her historical VMA dominance and the visual’s strong showing across choreography, direction, and visual effects precursors. PinkPantheress and Zara Larsson’s “Stateside” follows closely at 29%, supported by their multiple nods and streaming momentum, while Lady Gaga and Doechii’s “RUNWAY,” Harry Styles’ “Aperture,” and the remaining nominees trail with lower odds. The tight contest among established pop acts underscores how recent chart performance, critical buzz, and voter turnout in the final days could still shift outcomes before the live show.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日VMAベストダンス2026
VMAベストダンス2026
Confessions II – The Film（マドンナ） 36%
Stateside + Zara Larsson（ピンクパンサレス） 29%
Runway（レディー・ガガ＆ドチェチ） 9%
Aperture（ハリー・スタイルズ） 9%
Confessions II – The Film（マドンナ）
36%
Stateside + Zara Larsson（ピンクパンサレス）
29%
Runway（レディー・ガガ＆ドチェチ）
9%
Aperture（ハリー・スタイルズ）
9%
Dance...（Slayyyter）
6%
Nobody's Girl（テイト・マクレー）
6%
New Religion（ベベ・レクサとフェイスレス）
3%
Confessions II – The Film（マドンナ） 36%
Stateside + Zara Larsson（ピンクパンサレス） 29%
Runway（レディー・ガガ＆ドチェチ） 9%
Aperture（ハリー・スタイルズ） 9%
Confessions II – The Film（マドンナ）
36%
Stateside + Zara Larsson（ピンクパンサレス）
29%
Runway（レディー・ガガ＆ドチェチ）
9%
Aperture（ハリー・スタイルズ）
9%
Dance...（Slayyyter）
6%
Nobody's Girl（テイト・マクレー）
6%
New Religion（ベベ・レクサとフェイスレス）
3%
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Dance.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Dance when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Dance.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Dance when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” leads trader sentiment for the returning Best Dance category at the 2026 VMAs, buoyed by her record 13 nominations overall, the project’s critical acclaim as a dancefloor return, and her scheduled opening performance at the September 27 ceremony. The implied probability sits near 35.5% amid fan voting that closes September 25, reflecting her historical VMA dominance and the visual’s strong showing across choreography, direction, and visual effects precursors. PinkPantheress and Zara Larsson’s “Stateside” follows closely at 29%, supported by their multiple nods and streaming momentum, while Lady Gaga and Doechii’s “RUNWAY,” Harry Styles’ “Aperture,” and the remaining nominees trail with lower odds. The tight contest among established pop acts underscores how recent chart performance, critical buzz, and voter turnout in the final days could still shift outcomes before the live show.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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