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icon for 2026年VMAビデオオブザイヤー

2026年VMAビデオオブザイヤー

icon for 2026年VMAビデオオブザイヤー

2026年VMAビデオオブザイヤー

The Fate of Ophelia(テイラー・スウィフト) 56%

Storm(Gener8ion feat. Yung Lean) 26%

Confessions II – The Film(マドンナ) 24%

Hate That I Made You Love Me(アリアナ・グランデ) 12%

Polymarket
新規

The Fate of Ophelia(テイラー・スウィフト) 56%

Storm(Gener8ion feat. Yung Lean) 26%

Confessions II – The Film(マドンナ) 24%

Hate That I Made You Love Me(アリアナ・グランデ) 12%

Polymarket
新規

The Fate of Ophelia(テイラー・スウィフト)

$2,368 Vol.

56%

Storm(Gener8ion feat. Yung Lean)

$4 Vol.

26%

Confessions II – The Film(マドンナ)

$585 Vol.

24%

Hate That I Made You Love Me(アリアナ・グランデ)

$30 Vol.

12%

I Just Might(ブルーノ・マーズ)

$79 Vol.

8%

Tears(サブリナ・カーペンター)

$56 Vol.

8%

The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year. If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads the VMA Video of the Year market at 55.5% implied probability, driven by its record-breaking streaming numbers, Billboard Hot 100 dominance, and Swift’s history of five prior wins in the category. The closely matched field features Madonna’s ambitious 14-minute “Confessions II – The Film” at 24%, alongside Ariana Grande, Bruno Mars, Sabrina Carpenter, and GENER8ion featuring Yung Lean. Momentum favors Swift’s self-directed visual and “Life of a Showgirl” era campaign, though Madonna’s career-high nomination total and upcoming opening performance could sway voter sentiment. The Sept. 27 ceremony in Los Angeles remains the key catalyst, with guild and critic precursors offering limited signals in this fan-voted race.

The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.

If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year. If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$3,123
終了日
2026/09/28
マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year. If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads the VMA Video of the Year market at 55.5% implied probability, driven by its record-breaking streaming numbers, Billboard Hot 100 dominance, and Swift’s history of five prior wins in the category. The closely matched field features Madonna’s ambitious 14-minute “Confessions II – The Film” at 24%, alongside Ariana Grande, Bruno Mars, Sabrina Carpenter, and GENER8ion featuring Yung Lean. Momentum favors Swift’s self-directed visual and “Life of a Showgirl” era campaign, though Madonna’s career-high nomination total and upcoming opening performance could sway voter sentiment. The Sept. 27 ceremony in Los Angeles remains the key catalyst, with guild and critic precursors offering limited signals in this fan-voted race.

The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.

If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year. If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$3,123
終了日
2026/09/28
マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「2026年VMAビデオオブザイヤー」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「The Fate of Ophelia(テイラー・スウィフト)」で56%、次いで「Storm(Gener8ion feat. Yung Lean)」が26%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、56¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に56%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「2026年VMAビデオオブザイヤー」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 18, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「2026年VMAビデオオブザイヤー」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2026年VMAビデオオブザイヤー」の現在のフロントランナーは「The Fate of Ophelia(テイラー・スウィフト)」で56%であり、市場がこの結果に56%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Storm(Gener8ion feat. Yung Lean)」で26%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2026年VMAビデオオブザイヤー」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。