Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds a commanding 72% implied probability in the VMA Best Pop category, driven by its status as the lead single from her blockbuster 2025 album *The Life of a Showgirl*, record-breaking streaming numbers, and Swift’s nine total nominations. The video’s elaborate visual storytelling and cultural resonance position it as the clear frontrunner among the seven nominees. Competing entries from Ariana Grande, Charli XCX (“SS26”), LISA, Olivia Rodrigo, Sabrina Carpenter, and Tate McRae trail at 12.5–25%, reflecting solid but less dominant chart and critical traction. With fan voting closing September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony in Los Angeles, Swift’s historical VMA dominance and recent precursor momentum continue to anchor trader sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日VMAベストポップ2026
VMAベストポップ2026
The Fate of Ophelia（テイラー・スウィフト） 49%
House Tour（サブリナ・カーペンター） 25%
Dream（リサ feat. 坂口健太郎） 14%
Drop Dead（オリヴィア・ロドリゴ） 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/27
The Fate of Ophelia（テイラー・スウィフト）
72%
House Tour（サブリナ・カーペンター）
25%
Dream（リサ feat. 坂口健太郎）
14%
Drop Dead（オリヴィア・ロドリゴ）
14%
Hate That I Made You Love Me（アリアナ・グランデ）
8%
SS26（チャーリーXCX）
7%
Nobody's Girl（テイト・マクレー）
7%
The Fate of Ophelia（テイラー・スウィフト） 49%
House Tour（サブリナ・カーペンター） 25%
Dream（リサ feat. 坂口健太郎） 14%
Drop Dead（オリヴィア・ロドリゴ） 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/27
The Fate of Ophelia（テイラー・スウィフト）
$20 Vol.
72%
House Tour（サブリナ・カーペンター）
$0 Vol.
25%
Dream（リサ feat. 坂口健太郎）
$0 Vol.
14%
Drop Dead（オリヴィア・ロドリゴ）
$0 Vol.
14%
Hate That I Made You Love Me（アリアナ・グランデ）
$0 Vol.
8%
SS26（チャーリーXCX）
$0 Vol.
7%
Nobody's Girl（テイト・マクレー）
$0 Vol.
7%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds a commanding 72% implied probability in the VMA Best Pop category, driven by its status as the lead single from her blockbuster 2025 album *The Life of a Showgirl*, record-breaking streaming numbers, and Swift’s nine total nominations. The video’s elaborate visual storytelling and cultural resonance position it as the clear frontrunner among the seven nominees. Competing entries from Ariana Grande, Charli XCX (“SS26”), LISA, Olivia Rodrigo, Sabrina Carpenter, and Tate McRae trail at 12.5–25%, reflecting solid but less dominant chart and critical traction. With fan voting closing September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony in Los Angeles, Swift’s historical VMA dominance and recent precursor momentum continue to anchor trader sentiment.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
音量
$20終了日
2026/09/28マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds a commanding 72% implied probability in the VMA Best Pop category, driven by its status as the lead single from her blockbuster 2025 album *The Life of a Showgirl*, record-breaking streaming numbers, and Swift’s nine total nominations. The video’s elaborate visual storytelling and cultural resonance position it as the clear frontrunner among the seven nominees. Competing entries from Ariana Grande, Charli XCX (“SS26”), LISA, Olivia Rodrigo, Sabrina Carpenter, and Tate McRae trail at 12.5–25%, reflecting solid but less dominant chart and critical traction. With fan voting closing September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony in Los Angeles, Swift’s historical VMA dominance and recent precursor momentum continue to anchor trader sentiment.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$20終了日
2026/09/28マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds a commanding 72% implied probability in the VMA Best Pop category, driven by its status as the lead single from her blockbuster 2025 album *The Life of a Showgirl*, record-breaking streaming numbers, and Swift’s nine total nominations. The video’s elaborate visual storytelling and cultural resonance position it as the clear frontrunner among the seven nominees. Competing entries from Ariana Grande, Charli XCX (“SS26”), LISA, Olivia Rodrigo, Sabrina Carpenter, and Tate McRae trail at 12.5–25%, reflecting solid but less dominant chart and critical traction. With fan voting closing September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony in Los Angeles, Swift’s historical VMA dominance and recent precursor momentum continue to anchor trader sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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