Barry Moore secured the Republican nomination in June after winning the primary runoff with President Trump’s endorsement, positioning him as the clear favorite in Alabama’s open Senate race to succeed Tommy Tuberville. The state’s consistent Republican dominance in federal contests, including Trump’s 30-point margin in 2024, underpins trader pricing that assigns Moore a 95 percent implied probability of victory. Moore’s congressional record, Freedom Caucus ties, and relationships in Washington further reinforce expectations of strong base turnout. Everett Wess, the Democratic nominee and a Birmingham attorney, has emphasized cost-of-living concerns, yet faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats have not won a Senate seat in decades outside a 2017 special election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national economic reversal could narrow the gap, though current fundamentals point to limited volatility before the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAlabama Senate Election Winner
Alabama Senate Election Winner
$12,907 Wol.
$12,907 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Barry Moore (R)
95%
Everett Wess (D)
5%
$12,907 Wol.
$12,907 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Barry Moore (R)
$7,109 Wol.
95%
Everett Wess (D)
$5,798 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Barry Moore secured the Republican nomination in June after winning the primary runoff with President Trump’s endorsement, positioning him as the clear favorite in Alabama’s open Senate race to succeed Tommy Tuberville. The state’s consistent Republican dominance in federal contests, including Trump’s 30-point margin in 2024, underpins trader pricing that assigns Moore a 95 percent implied probability of victory. Moore’s congressional record, Freedom Caucus ties, and relationships in Washington further reinforce expectations of strong base turnout. Everett Wess, the Democratic nominee and a Birmingham attorney, has emphasized cost-of-living concerns, yet faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats have not won a Senate seat in decades outside a 2017 special election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national economic reversal could narrow the gap, though current fundamentals point to limited volatility before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Wolumen
$12,907Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Barry Moore secured the Republican nomination in June after winning the primary runoff with President Trump’s endorsement, positioning him as the clear favorite in Alabama’s open Senate race to succeed Tommy Tuberville. The state’s consistent Republican dominance in federal contests, including Trump’s 30-point margin in 2024, underpins trader pricing that assigns Moore a 95 percent implied probability of victory. Moore’s congressional record, Freedom Caucus ties, and relationships in Washington further reinforce expectations of strong base turnout. Everett Wess, the Democratic nominee and a Birmingham attorney, has emphasized cost-of-living concerns, yet faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats have not won a Senate seat in decades outside a 2017 special election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national economic reversal could narrow the gap, though current fundamentals point to limited volatility before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$12,907Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Barry Moore secured the Republican nomination in June after winning the primary runoff with President Trump’s endorsement, positioning him as the clear favorite in Alabama’s open Senate race to succeed Tommy Tuberville. The state’s consistent Republican dominance in federal contests, including Trump’s 30-point margin in 2024, underpins trader pricing that assigns Moore a 95 percent implied probability of victory. Moore’s congressional record, Freedom Caucus ties, and relationships in Washington further reinforce expectations of strong base turnout. Everett Wess, the Democratic nominee and a Birmingham attorney, has emphasized cost-of-living concerns, yet faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats have not won a Senate seat in decades outside a 2017 special election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national economic reversal could narrow the gap, though current fundamentals point to limited volatility before the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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