Omar Aziz (PSD) leads trader consensus at 63.5% due to consistent polling advantages of 26-34% in first-round surveys from institutes such as Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and AtlasIntel through late August and early September. His broad coalition encompassing PSD, MDB, Republicanos, and the PT-led federation, combined with his record as former governor and sitting senator, strengthens positioning ahead of the October 4 first round. Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) benefits from interim incumbency after the 2026 indirect election but trails at 16-22%, while Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) and David Almeida (Avante) register 15-21% amid fragmented opposition. Minor candidates remain below 2%. Runoff simulations show Aziz competitive or ahead against top rivals, though 43% of voters in recent surveys indicate flexibility before voting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoOmar Aziz 64%
Professora Maria do Carmo 22%
Roberto Cidade 16.8%
Gilberto Vasconcelos 1.6%
$24,606 Wol.
$24,606 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Omar Aziz
64%
Professora Maria do Carmo
22%
Roberto Cidade
17%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
2%
Cabo Daciolo
<1%
David Almeida
<1%
Isael Munduruku
<1%
Omar Aziz 64%
Professora Maria do Carmo 22%
Roberto Cidade 16.8%
Gilberto Vasconcelos 1.6%
$24,606 Wol.
$24,606 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Omar Aziz
$8,686 Wol.
64%
Professora Maria do Carmo
$5,215 Wol.
22%
Roberto Cidade
$4,028 Wol.
17%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
$1,750 Wol.
2%
Cabo Daciolo
$1,442 Wol.
<1%
David Almeida
$1,810 Wol.
<1%
Isael Munduruku
$1,675 Wol.
<1%
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD) leads trader consensus at 63.5% due to consistent polling advantages of 26-34% in first-round surveys from institutes such as Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and AtlasIntel through late August and early September. His broad coalition encompassing PSD, MDB, Republicanos, and the PT-led federation, combined with his record as former governor and sitting senator, strengthens positioning ahead of the October 4 first round. Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) benefits from interim incumbency after the 2026 indirect election but trails at 16-22%, while Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) and David Almeida (Avante) register 15-21% amid fragmented opposition. Minor candidates remain below 2%. Runoff simulations show Aziz competitive or ahead against top rivals, though 43% of voters in recent surveys indicate flexibility before voting.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$24,606Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD) leads trader consensus at 63.5% due to consistent polling advantages of 26-34% in first-round surveys from institutes such as Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and AtlasIntel through late August and early September. His broad coalition encompassing PSD, MDB, Republicanos, and the PT-led federation, combined with his record as former governor and sitting senator, strengthens positioning ahead of the October 4 first round. Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) benefits from interim incumbency after the 2026 indirect election but trails at 16-22%, while Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) and David Almeida (Avante) register 15-21% amid fragmented opposition. Minor candidates remain below 2%. Runoff simulations show Aziz competitive or ahead against top rivals, though 43% of voters in recent surveys indicate flexibility before voting.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$24,606Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Omar Aziz (PSD) leads trader consensus at 63.5% due to consistent polling advantages of 26-34% in first-round surveys from institutes such as Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and AtlasIntel through late August and early September. His broad coalition encompassing PSD, MDB, Republicanos, and the PT-led federation, combined with his record as former governor and sitting senator, strengthens positioning ahead of the October 4 first round. Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) benefits from interim incumbency after the 2026 indirect election but trails at 16-22%, while Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) and David Almeida (Avante) register 15-21% amid fragmented opposition. Minor candidates remain below 2%. Runoff simulations show Aziz competitive or ahead against top rivals, though 43% of voters in recent surveys indicate flexibility before voting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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