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icon for Ceará Senate Election: 1st Place

Ceará Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Ceará Senate Election: 1st Place

Ceará Senate Election: 1st Place

Cid Gomes 78%

Capitão Wagner 11%

Luizianne 5.3%

Alcides Fernandes <1%

Polymarket

$23,581 Wol.

Cid Gomes 78%

Capitão Wagner 11%

Luizianne 5.3%

Alcides Fernandes <1%

Polymarket

$23,581 Wol.

icon for Cid Gomes

Cid Gomes

$15,837 Wol.

78%

icon for Capitão Wagner

Capitão Wagner

$2,715 Wol.

11%

icon for Luizianne

Luizianne

$1,258 Wol.

5%

icon for Alcides Fernandes

Alcides Fernandes

$857 Wol.

1%

icon for Guilherme Theophilo

Guilherme Theophilo

$654 Wol.

<1%

icon for Lino Alves

Lino Alves

$840 Wol.

<1%

icon for Catarina Matos

Catarina Matos

$650 Wol.

<1%

icon for Reginaldo

Reginaldo

$769 Wol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes (PSB) leads trader pricing for first place in the Ceará Senate race at 77.5%, reflecting his consistent position atop recent polling averages ahead of the October 4 election for the state's two seats. As the incumbent seeking re-election, he benefits from high name recognition, PSB alignment with Governor Elmano de Freitas (PT) and President Lula's coalition, and official party confirmation of his candidacy in early August. Multiple August-September surveys, including Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel, place him at 23-27% in consolidated vote intentions, ahead of Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) in the 13-22% range, with lower support for names such as Alcides Fernandes. The second Senate vacancy remains more competitive, but Cid's edge in first-preference and combined tallies underpins the market's assessment of his frontrunner status.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$23,581
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes (PSB) leads trader pricing for first place in the Ceará Senate race at 77.5%, reflecting his consistent position atop recent polling averages ahead of the October 4 election for the state's two seats. As the incumbent seeking re-election, he benefits from high name recognition, PSB alignment with Governor Elmano de Freitas (PT) and President Lula's coalition, and official party confirmation of his candidacy in early August. Multiple August-September surveys, including Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel, place him at 23-27% in consolidated vote intentions, ahead of Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) in the 13-22% range, with lower support for names such as Alcides Fernandes. The second Senate vacancy remains more competitive, but Cid's edge in first-preference and combined tallies underpins the market's assessment of his frontrunner status.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$23,581
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Ceará Senate Election: 1st Place" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 8 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Cid Gomes" z 78%, za nim "Capitão Wagner" z 11%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 78¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 78% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Ceará Senate Election: 1st Place" wygenerował $23.6K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Aug 17, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Ceará Senate Election: 1st Place", przeglądaj 8 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Ceará Senate Election: 1st Place" jest "Cid Gomes" z 78%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 78% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Capitão Wagner" z 11%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Ceará Senate Election: 1st Place" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.