Recent polling from institutes including Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading the Ceará Senate race, with Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) in a technical tie for the remaining position ahead of the October 4 election. Luizianne's inclusion on the governing coalition ticket alongside Cid has consolidated support within that bloc, while Wagner draws from opposition and independent voters. The narrow margins among the top three—typically within the margin of error—reflect fragmented voter preferences and low name recognition for the remaining candidates. Limited late-campaign shifts or new endorsements could separate the contenders for second place before voting begins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCapitão Wagner 36%
Luizianne 34%
Cid Gomes 22%
Alcides Fernandes 2.7%
$36,517 Wol.
$36,517 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Wagner
36%
Luizianne
39%
Cid Gomes
22%
Alcides Fernandes
3%
Lino Alves
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
Catarina Matos
<1%
Reginaldo
<1%
Capitão Wagner 36%
Luizianne 34%
Cid Gomes 22%
Alcides Fernandes 2.7%
$36,517 Wol.
$36,517 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Wagner
$14,348 Wol.
36%
Luizianne
$11,623 Wol.
39%
Cid Gomes
$4,903 Wol.
22%
Alcides Fernandes
$1,100 Wol.
3%
Lino Alves
$942 Wol.
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$825 Wol.
<1%
Catarina Matos
$1,541 Wol.
<1%
Reginaldo
$1,234 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading the Ceará Senate race, with Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) in a technical tie for the remaining position ahead of the October 4 election. Luizianne's inclusion on the governing coalition ticket alongside Cid has consolidated support within that bloc, while Wagner draws from opposition and independent voters. The narrow margins among the top three—typically within the margin of error—reflect fragmented voter preferences and low name recognition for the remaining candidates. Limited late-campaign shifts or new endorsements could separate the contenders for second place before voting begins.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$36,517Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading the Ceará Senate race, with Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) in a technical tie for the remaining position ahead of the October 4 election. Luizianne's inclusion on the governing coalition ticket alongside Cid has consolidated support within that bloc, while Wagner draws from opposition and independent voters. The narrow margins among the top three—typically within the margin of error—reflect fragmented voter preferences and low name recognition for the remaining candidates. Limited late-campaign shifts or new endorsements could separate the contenders for second place before voting begins.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$36,517Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from institutes including Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading the Ceará Senate race, with Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) in a technical tie for the remaining position ahead of the October 4 election. Luizianne's inclusion on the governing coalition ticket alongside Cid has consolidated support within that bloc, while Wagner draws from opposition and independent voters. The narrow margins among the top three—typically within the margin of error—reflect fragmented voter preferences and low name recognition for the remaining candidates. Limited late-campaign shifts or new endorsements could separate the contenders for second place before voting begins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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