Recent Datafolha polling from early September shows Marília Arraes (PDT) narrowly ahead at 18% for the two Senate seats in Pernambuco, followed closely by Humberto Costa (PT) at 16%, Mendonça Filho (PL) at 12%, and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) at 10%, with Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) at 5%. The contest for second place remains tight due to technical ties within the 3-point margin of error, a large pool of undecided voters (around 10%) and blank/null intentions (22%), and overlapping support bases among the top four. Humberto Costa benefits from PT organization and the Frente Popular coalition alongside Arraes, while Mendonça Filho and da Fonte draw from right-leaning voters aligned with Governor Raquel Lyra. Further shifts in polling averages, coalition endorsements, or turnout patterns in the final weeks before the October 4 vote could widen gaps among contenders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHumberto Costa 43%
Mendonça Filho 22%
Marília Arraes 20.2%
Túlio Gadêlha 6.9%
$32,014 Wol.
$32,014 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Humberto Costa
43%
Mendonça Filho
22%
Marília Arraes
20%
Túlio Gadêlha
7%
Eduardo da Fonte
7%
Mariano Macedo
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
<1%
Carlos Sant'Anna
<1%
Gorett Bitu
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
<1%
Humberto Costa 43%
Mendonça Filho 22%
Marília Arraes 20.2%
Túlio Gadêlha 6.9%
$32,014 Wol.
$32,014 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Humberto Costa
$10,112 Wol.
43%
Mendonça Filho
$8,716 Wol.
22%
Marília Arraes
$5,594 Wol.
20%
Túlio Gadêlha
$1,435 Wol.
7%
Eduardo da Fonte
$1,694 Wol.
7%
Mariano Macedo
$806 Wol.
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
$834 Wol.
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$778 Wol.
<1%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$494 Wol.
<1%
Gorett Bitu
$629 Wol.
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$433 Wol.
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$490 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Datafolha polling from early September shows Marília Arraes (PDT) narrowly ahead at 18% for the two Senate seats in Pernambuco, followed closely by Humberto Costa (PT) at 16%, Mendonça Filho (PL) at 12%, and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) at 10%, with Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) at 5%. The contest for second place remains tight due to technical ties within the 3-point margin of error, a large pool of undecided voters (around 10%) and blank/null intentions (22%), and overlapping support bases among the top four. Humberto Costa benefits from PT organization and the Frente Popular coalition alongside Arraes, while Mendonça Filho and da Fonte draw from right-leaning voters aligned with Governor Raquel Lyra. Further shifts in polling averages, coalition endorsements, or turnout patterns in the final weeks before the October 4 vote could widen gaps among contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Wolumen
$32,014Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Datafolha polling from early September shows Marília Arraes (PDT) narrowly ahead at 18% for the two Senate seats in Pernambuco, followed closely by Humberto Costa (PT) at 16%, Mendonça Filho (PL) at 12%, and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) at 10%, with Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) at 5%. The contest for second place remains tight due to technical ties within the 3-point margin of error, a large pool of undecided voters (around 10%) and blank/null intentions (22%), and overlapping support bases among the top four. Humberto Costa benefits from PT organization and the Frente Popular coalition alongside Arraes, while Mendonça Filho and da Fonte draw from right-leaning voters aligned with Governor Raquel Lyra. Further shifts in polling averages, coalition endorsements, or turnout patterns in the final weeks before the October 4 vote could widen gaps among contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$32,014Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent Datafolha polling from early September shows Marília Arraes (PDT) narrowly ahead at 18% for the two Senate seats in Pernambuco, followed closely by Humberto Costa (PT) at 16%, Mendonça Filho (PL) at 12%, and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) at 10%, with Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) at 5%. The contest for second place remains tight due to technical ties within the 3-point margin of error, a large pool of undecided voters (around 10%) and blank/null intentions (22%), and overlapping support bases among the top four. Humberto Costa benefits from PT organization and the Frente Popular coalition alongside Arraes, while Mendonça Filho and da Fonte draw from right-leaning voters aligned with Governor Raquel Lyra. Further shifts in polling averages, coalition endorsements, or turnout patterns in the final weeks before the October 4 vote could widen gaps among contenders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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