Recent polling consistently positions Marília Arraes (PDT) as the frontrunner for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4 Senate election, where voters select two candidates. Surveys from Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Datafolha through mid-September show her combining first- and second-choice support at 17–29%, ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) and Mendonça Filho (PL) in the low-to-mid teens or higher in some scenarios. Arraes benefits from alignment with the popular ex-Recife mayor João Campos and the Frente Popular de Pernambuco ticket. The second seat remains more competitive among Costa, Mendonça Filho, and Eduardo da Fonte (PP), but Arraes’s margin for the top spot has held steady. With the vote less than three weeks away and no major late shifts reported, trader pricing reflects this established polling hierarchy.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMarília Arraes 77%
Humberto Costa 11.1%
Mendonça Filho 6.7%
Eduardo da Fonte 1.6%
$32,858 Wol.
$32,858 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marília Arraes
77%
Humberto Costa
14%
Mendonça Filho
7%
Eduardo da Fonte
2%
Carlos Sant'Anna
<1%
Gorett Bitu
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
<1%
Mariano Macedo
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
<1%
Túlio Gadêlha
<1%
Marília Arraes 77%
Humberto Costa 11.1%
Mendonça Filho 6.7%
Eduardo da Fonte 1.6%
$32,858 Wol.
$32,858 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marília Arraes
$16,132 Wol.
77%
Humberto Costa
$9,622 Wol.
14%
Mendonça Filho
$1,337 Wol.
7%
Eduardo da Fonte
$921 Wol.
2%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$668 Wol.
<1%
Gorett Bitu
$667 Wol.
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$658 Wol.
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
$557 Wol.
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$585 Wol.
<1%
Mariano Macedo
$562 Wol.
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$523 Wol.
<1%
Túlio Gadêlha
$625 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling consistently positions Marília Arraes (PDT) as the frontrunner for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4 Senate election, where voters select two candidates. Surveys from Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Datafolha through mid-September show her combining first- and second-choice support at 17–29%, ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) and Mendonça Filho (PL) in the low-to-mid teens or higher in some scenarios. Arraes benefits from alignment with the popular ex-Recife mayor João Campos and the Frente Popular de Pernambuco ticket. The second seat remains more competitive among Costa, Mendonça Filho, and Eduardo da Fonte (PP), but Arraes’s margin for the top spot has held steady. With the vote less than three weeks away and no major late shifts reported, trader pricing reflects this established polling hierarchy.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$32,858Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling consistently positions Marília Arraes (PDT) as the frontrunner for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4 Senate election, where voters select two candidates. Surveys from Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Datafolha through mid-September show her combining first- and second-choice support at 17–29%, ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) and Mendonça Filho (PL) in the low-to-mid teens or higher in some scenarios. Arraes benefits from alignment with the popular ex-Recife mayor João Campos and the Frente Popular de Pernambuco ticket. The second seat remains more competitive among Costa, Mendonça Filho, and Eduardo da Fonte (PP), but Arraes’s margin for the top spot has held steady. With the vote less than three weeks away and no major late shifts reported, trader pricing reflects this established polling hierarchy.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$32,858Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling consistently positions Marília Arraes (PDT) as the frontrunner for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4 Senate election, where voters select two candidates. Surveys from Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Datafolha through mid-September show her combining first- and second-choice support at 17–29%, ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) and Mendonça Filho (PL) in the low-to-mid teens or higher in some scenarios. Arraes benefits from alignment with the popular ex-Recife mayor João Campos and the Frente Popular de Pernambuco ticket. The second seat remains more competitive among Costa, Mendonça Filho, and Eduardo da Fonte (PP), but Arraes’s margin for the top spot has held steady. With the vote less than three weeks away and no major late shifts reported, trader pricing reflects this established polling hierarchy.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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