Dr. Furlan (PSD) holds a commanding position in the Amapá gubernatorial race due to sustained leads in multiple registered polls conducted through mid-September, where he registers 55-66% of first-round intentions against incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) at 30-39%. His prior terms as Macapá mayor, including a strong 2024 re-election, combined with ongoing street-level campaigning across municipalities and scheduled media interviews, have reinforced trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability. Other candidates such as Jairo Palheta, Carlos Cley, and Marcos Reategui remain marginal. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign developments, differential turnout on October 4, or any eligibility rulings before the first-round vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoDr. Furlan 92%
Marcos Reategui 4.3%
Clécio Luís 4.0%
Jairo Palheta 2.1%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Dr. Furlan
92%
Marcos Reategui
4%
Clécio Luís
4%
Jairo Palheta
2%
Carlos Cley
<1%
Dr. Furlan 92%
Marcos Reategui 4.3%
Clécio Luís 4.0%
Jairo Palheta 2.1%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Dr. Furlan
$7,140 Wol.
92%
Marcos Reategui
$214 Wol.
4%
Clécio Luís
$318 Wol.
4%
Jairo Palheta
$374 Wol.
2%
Carlos Cley
$133 Wol.
<1%
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD) holds a commanding position in the Amapá gubernatorial race due to sustained leads in multiple registered polls conducted through mid-September, where he registers 55-66% of first-round intentions against incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) at 30-39%. His prior terms as Macapá mayor, including a strong 2024 re-election, combined with ongoing street-level campaigning across municipalities and scheduled media interviews, have reinforced trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability. Other candidates such as Jairo Palheta, Carlos Cley, and Marcos Reategui remain marginal. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign developments, differential turnout on October 4, or any eligibility rulings before the first-round vote.
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,179Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD) holds a commanding position in the Amapá gubernatorial race due to sustained leads in multiple registered polls conducted through mid-September, where he registers 55-66% of first-round intentions against incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) at 30-39%. His prior terms as Macapá mayor, including a strong 2024 re-election, combined with ongoing street-level campaigning across municipalities and scheduled media interviews, have reinforced trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability. Other candidates such as Jairo Palheta, Carlos Cley, and Marcos Reategui remain marginal. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign developments, differential turnout on October 4, or any eligibility rulings before the first-round vote.
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$8,179Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Dr. Furlan (PSD) holds a commanding position in the Amapá gubernatorial race due to sustained leads in multiple registered polls conducted through mid-September, where he registers 55-66% of first-round intentions against incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) at 30-39%. His prior terms as Macapá mayor, including a strong 2024 re-election, combined with ongoing street-level campaigning across municipalities and scheduled media interviews, have reinforced trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability. Other candidates such as Jairo Palheta, Carlos Cley, and Marcos Reategui remain marginal. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign developments, differential turnout on October 4, or any eligibility rulings before the first-round vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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