Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds the leading position in trader pricing for the Bahia gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent September polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data, AtlasIntel, and Quaest shows him and ACM Neto (União Brasil) in a technical tie or with narrow leads that fall within margins of error, reflecting a highly competitive contest between the two dominant figures. Rodrigues benefits from established name recognition and state-level incumbency advantages in a polarized environment, while Neto draws on prior mayoral experience in Salvador and opposition momentum. Other registered candidates such as João Roma, José Carlos Aleluia, Kleber Rosa, Rui Costa, and Bruno Soares Reis register negligible support. With the first-round vote imminent and a likely runoff on October 25, market odds reflect trader assessments of these structural and polling dynamics rather than decisive recent shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJerônimo Rodrigues 61%
ACM Neto 38%
João Roma <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$152,789 Wol.
$152,789 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
61%
ACM Neto
38%
João Roma
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 61%
ACM Neto 38%
João Roma <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$152,789 Wol.
$152,789 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$49,800 Wol.
61%
ACM Neto
$60,865 Wol.
38%
João Roma
$5,186 Wol.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$11,986 Wol.
<1%
Kleber Rosa
$13,880 Wol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 Wol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 Wol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds the leading position in trader pricing for the Bahia gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent September polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data, AtlasIntel, and Quaest shows him and ACM Neto (União Brasil) in a technical tie or with narrow leads that fall within margins of error, reflecting a highly competitive contest between the two dominant figures. Rodrigues benefits from established name recognition and state-level incumbency advantages in a polarized environment, while Neto draws on prior mayoral experience in Salvador and opposition momentum. Other registered candidates such as João Roma, José Carlos Aleluia, Kleber Rosa, Rui Costa, and Bruno Soares Reis register negligible support. With the first-round vote imminent and a likely runoff on October 25, market odds reflect trader assessments of these structural and polling dynamics rather than decisive recent shifts.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Wolumen
$152,789Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds the leading position in trader pricing for the Bahia gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent September polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data, AtlasIntel, and Quaest shows him and ACM Neto (União Brasil) in a technical tie or with narrow leads that fall within margins of error, reflecting a highly competitive contest between the two dominant figures. Rodrigues benefits from established name recognition and state-level incumbency advantages in a polarized environment, while Neto draws on prior mayoral experience in Salvador and opposition momentum. Other registered candidates such as João Roma, José Carlos Aleluia, Kleber Rosa, Rui Costa, and Bruno Soares Reis register negligible support. With the first-round vote imminent and a likely runoff on October 25, market odds reflect trader assessments of these structural and polling dynamics rather than decisive recent shifts.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$152,789Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds the leading position in trader pricing for the Bahia gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent September polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data, AtlasIntel, and Quaest shows him and ACM Neto (União Brasil) in a technical tie or with narrow leads that fall within margins of error, reflecting a highly competitive contest between the two dominant figures. Rodrigues benefits from established name recognition and state-level incumbency advantages in a polarized environment, while Neto draws on prior mayoral experience in Salvador and opposition momentum. Other registered candidates such as João Roma, José Carlos Aleluia, Kleber Rosa, Rui Costa, and Bruno Soares Reis register negligible support. With the first-round vote imminent and a likely runoff on October 25, market odds reflect trader assessments of these structural and polling dynamics rather than decisive recent shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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